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Metro (MTRAF) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Metro Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metro's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MTRAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.62   Max: -1.68
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metro was -1.68. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.62.


Metro Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Metro's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Metro Beneish M-Score Chart

Metro Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.24 -2.81 -2.67 -2.64 -2.42

Metro Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.52 -2.58 -2.42 -2.40

Competitive Comparison of Metro's Beneish M-Score

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Metro's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metro's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Metro's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metro's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Metro Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metro for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0478+0.528 * 1.0133+0.404 * 0.9611+0.892 * 1.0614+0.115 * 1.0443
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.036261-0.327 * 1.0084
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $715 Mil.
Revenue was 3707.662 + 3748.208 + 4837.799 + 3328.583 = $15,622 Mil.
Gross Profit was 725.477 + 730.471 + 950.399 + 668.932 = $3,075 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,978 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,509 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,528 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $398 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,707 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,912 Mil.
Net Income was 169.201 + 163.772 + 259.672 + 159.614 = $752 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.894 + -0.074 + 0.151 + -0.219 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 128.429 + 286.084 + 410.884 + 307.169 = $1,133 Mil.
Total Receivables was $643 Mil.
Revenue was 3438.278 + 3323.038 + 4580.99 + 3376.145 = $14,718 Mil.
Gross Profit was 674.126 + 679.436 + 904.952 + 677.251 = $2,936 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,783 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,067 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,297 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $391 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $583 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,494 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,894 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(714.595 / 15622.252) / (642.547 / 14718.451)
=0.045742 / 0.043656
=1.0478

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2935.765 / 14718.451) / (3075.279 / 15622.252)
=0.199462 / 0.196852
=1.0133

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1977.937 + 3527.579) / 10508.795) / (1 - (1783.29 + 3296.945) / 10066.838)
=0.476104 / 0.495349
=0.9611

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15622.252 / 14718.451
=1.0614

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(390.529 / (390.529 + 3296.945)) / (398.142 / (398.142 + 3527.579))
=0.105907 / 0.101419
=1.0443

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 15622.252) / (582.77 / 14718.451)
=0 / 0.039595
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2911.822 + 1706.694) / 10508.795) / ((2894.001 + 1493.633) / 10066.838)
=0.439491 / 0.43585
=1.0084

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(752.259 - 0.752 - 1132.566) / 10508.795
=-0.036261

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metro has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Metro (MTRAF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11011 Maurice-Duplessis, Finances, Montreal, Montreal, QC, CAN, H1C 1V6
Metro is the third-largest grocery retailer in Canada (behind Loblaw and Sobeys) and also owns the top pharmacy chain in Quebec, Jean Coutu, following the 2018 acquisition. Its grocery banners include supermarket chain Metro, discounters Super C and Food Basics, and ethnic food grocer Adonis, while its pharmacies primarily operate under the Jean Coutu and Brunet trademarks. Metro operates both as a food retailer and a franchisor, licensing its trademarks and supplying merchandise to registered pharmacists. The firm also acts as a wholesaler and distributor to serve smaller, neighborhood grocery stores. Unlike peers Loblaw and Sobeys that operate chain stores across Canada, Metro's operations are concentrated in the provinces of Quebec and Ontario, with no presence in western Canada.

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