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Oil Search (Oil Search) Beneish M-Score : -3.07 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Oil Search Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oil Search's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OISHY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.09   Med: -2.54   Max: -1.22
Current: -3.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oil Search was -1.22. The lowest was -4.09. And the median was -2.54.


Oil Search Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oil Search's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oil Search Beneish M-Score Chart

Oil Search Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.21 -2.55 -2.38 -2.66 -3.07

Oil Search Semi-Annual Data
Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.66 - -3.07 -

Competitive Comparison of Oil Search's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Oil Search's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oil Search's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Oil Search's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oil Search's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Oil Search Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oil Search for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9258+0.528 * 1.0461+0.404 * 1.117+0.892 * 0.6727+0.115 * 0.9405
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.8169+4.679 * -0.071806-0.327 * 0.8469
=-3.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec20) TTM:Last Year (Dec19) TTM:
Total Receivables was $169 Mil.
Revenue was $1,046 Mil.
Gross Profit was $714 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $868 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,388 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,234 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $424 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $39 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $969 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,581 Mil.
Net Income was $-321 Mil.
Gross Profit was $91 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $406 Mil.
Total Receivables was $272 Mil.
Revenue was $1,555 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,110 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $792 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,573 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,611 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $414 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $32 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,121 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,140 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(169.446 / 1046.108) / (272.087 / 1555.106)
=0.161978 / 0.174964
=0.9258

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1110.223 / 1555.106) / (713.944 / 1046.108)
=0.713921 / 0.682476
=1.0461

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (868.035 + 9234.305) / 11388.265) / (1 - (792.224 + 9610.679) / 11572.853)
=0.112917 / 0.101094
=1.117

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1046.108 / 1555.106
=0.6727

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(413.71 / (413.71 + 9610.679)) / (423.799 / (423.799 + 9234.305))
=0.04127 / 0.04388
=0.9405

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(39.229 / 1046.108) / (32.097 / 1555.106)
=0.0375 / 0.02064
=1.8169

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2581.418 + 969.456) / 11388.265) / ((3140.069 + 1120.721) / 11572.853)
=0.311801 / 0.368171
=0.8469

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-320.657 - 91.023 - 406.07) / 11388.265
=-0.071806

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oil Search has a M-score of -3.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Oil Search Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Oil Search (Oil Search) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ground Floor, Harbourside East Building, Stanley Esplanade, PO Box 842, National Capital District, Port Moresby, PNG, NCD 121
Oil Search was founded in 1929 and operates all of Papua New Guinea's oilfields. The PNG government holds a 10% interest. Oil Search had successfully run PNG oilfields since assuming operatorship from ExxonMobil in 2003. However, the tyranny of distance saw the large and high-quality gas fields largely stranded until 2014. The PNG LNG project is the first step to monetise those vast gas resources, again under the direction of ExxonMobil. First-stage construction is complete, with potential for expansion from two trains to five.

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