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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
Spirit Airlines Inc has a M-score of -2.18 signals that the company is a manipulator.
During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spirit Airlines Inc was -1.90. The lowest was -2.60. And the median was -2.43.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Spirit Airlines Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.11||+||0.528 * 0.9326||+||0.404 * 1.1978||+||0.892 * 1.2412||+||0.115 * 0.839|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9686||+||4.679 * -0.0127||-||0.327 * 0.9511|
|This Year (Mar14) TTM:||Last Year (Mar13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $34 Mil.|
Revenue was 437.987 + 419.984 + 456.625 + 407.339 = $1,722 Mil.
Gross Profit was 201.499 + 197.176 + 230.491 + 193.625 = $823 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $675 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,299 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $38 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $37 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $612 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $416 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0 Mil.
Net Income was 37.706 + 43.193 + 61.103 + 42.068 = $184 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.037 + -0.031 + -0.115 + -0.036 = $-0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 90.639 + 21.745 + 39.371 + 49.067 = $201 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $25 Mil.
Revenue was 370.437 + 328.268 + 342.317 + 346.308 = $1,387 Mil.
Gross Profit was 167.863 + 141.042 + 149.494 + 159.834 = $618 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $605 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $30 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $22 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $509 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $343 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(33.915 / 1721.935)||/||(24.616 / 1387.33)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(197.176 / 1387.33)||/||(201.499 / 1721.935)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (675.377 + 37.527) / 1299.255)||/||(1 - (605.13 + 30.409) / 1019.752)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(21.58 / (21.58 + 30.409))||/||(36.744 / (36.744 + 37.527))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(611.887 / 1721.935)||/||(508.991 / 1387.33)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((0 + 415.981) / 1299.255)||/||((0 + 343.263) / 1019.752)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(184.07 - -0.219||-||200.822)||/||1299.255|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Spirit Airlines Inc has a M-score of -2.18 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Spirit Airlines Inc Annual Data
Spirit Airlines Inc Quarterly Data