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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sears Holdings Corp was 8.32. The lowest was -4.27. And the median was -2.67.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Sears Holdings Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.1309||+||0.528 * 0.9634||+||0.404 * 1.1243||+||0.892 * 0.7883||+||0.115 * 0.7305|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0319||+||4.679 * 0.0507||-||0.327 * 0.9699|
|This Year (Jul15) TTM:||Last Year (Jul14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $460 Mil.|
Revenue was 6211 + 5882 + 8099 + 7207 = $27,399 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1435 + 1518 + 1978 + 1601 = $6,532 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,577 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,186 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,732 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $510 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7,388 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,485 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $3,068 Mil.
Net Income was 208 + -303 + -159 + -548 = $-802 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1 + 1 + 0 + 2 = $2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -297 + -535 + 555 + -1195 = $-1,472 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $516 Mil.
Revenue was 8013 + 7879 + 10593 + 8272 = $34,757 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1742 + 1828 + 2482 + 1931 = $7,983 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,157 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,438 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,091 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $661 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $9,082 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,178 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,815 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(460 / 27399)||/||(516 / 34757)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(1518 / 34757)||/||(1435 / 27399)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (7577 + 2732) / 13186)||/||(1 - (8157 + 5091) / 16438)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(661 / (661 + 5091))||/||(510 / (510 + 2732))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(7388 / 27399)||/||(9082 / 34757)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((3068 + 5485) / 13186)||/||((2815 + 8178) / 16438)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(-802 - 2||-||-1472)||/||13186|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Sears Holdings Corp has a M-score of -2.31 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Sears Holdings Corp Annual Data
Sears Holdings Corp Quarterly Data