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JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Beneish M-Score

: -2.20 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SJM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.2
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of JM Smucker Co was -2.20. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.55.


JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JM Smucker Co Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.52 -2.70 -2.49 -2.48

JM Smucker Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.48 -2.68 -2.86 -2.20

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JM Smucker Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of JM Smucker Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5006+0.528 * 0.8808+0.404 * 1.0294+0.892 * 0.9855+0.115 * 1.4518
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9904+4.679 * -0.008935-0.327 * 1.3905
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $790 Mil.
Revenue was 2229.2 + 1938.6 + 1805.2 + 2234.8 = $8,208 Mil.
Gross Profit was 823.1 + 724.2 + 654.8 + 792.4 = $2,995 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,924 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,247 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,187 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $398 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,397 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,467 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,273 Mil.
Net Income was 120.4 + 194.9 + 183.6 + -600.7 = $-102 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -101 + -1.7 + -33 + -1030.3 = $-1,166 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 406.5 + 176.9 + 217.9 + 443.8 = $1,245 Mil.
Total Receivables was $534 Mil.
Revenue was 2216.3 + 2205.1 + 1873 + 2033.8 = $8,328 Mil.
Gross Profit was 755.8 + 701.1 + 552.5 + 666.7 = $2,676 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,028 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,018 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,357 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $453 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,432 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,741 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,370 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(789.6 / 8207.8) / (533.9 / 8328.2)
=0.096201 / 0.064107
=1.5006

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2676.1 / 8328.2) / (2994.5 / 8207.8)
=0.32133 / 0.364836
=0.8808

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1924 + 3187.2) / 20247.2) / (1 - (2027.8 + 2357.2) / 16017.5)
=0.74756 / 0.726237
=1.0294

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8207.8 / 8328.2
=0.9855

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(452.9 / (452.9 + 2357.2)) / (398 / (398 + 3187.2))
=0.161169 / 0.111012
=1.4518

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1397.3 / 8207.8) / (1431.6 / 8328.2)
=0.170241 / 0.171898
=0.9904

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8272.5 + 2467.4) / 20247.2) / ((4369.6 + 1740.7) / 16017.5)
=0.530439 / 0.381477
=1.3905

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-101.8 - -1166 - 1245.1) / 20247.2
=-0.008935

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

JM Smucker Co has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


JM Smucker Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Strawberry Lane, Orrville, OH, USA, 44667-0280
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the U.S. retail channel (77% of forecast fiscal 2024 revenue), with the remaining share consisting of Hostess, foodservice, and international (primarily Canada). Following the divestiture of several pet foods brands and private-label products that constituted about $1.5 billion of sales, retail coffee is now its largest category (33% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (22% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from consumer foods, primarily peanut butter and jelly, through brands Jif and Smucker's. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
Executives
Tucker H Marshall officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Tarang Amin director C/O SCHIFF NUTRITION INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2002 SOUTH 5070 WEST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Amy C Held officer: Chief Strategy & Int'l Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Mercedes Abramo director ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Richard K Smucker director, officer: President C/ WM WRIGLEY JR CO, 410 N MICHIGAN AVE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Mark T Smucker officer: Vice President
Jill R Penrose officer: Chief People & Admin Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
John P Brase officer: Chief Operating Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Jeannette L Knudsen officer: Chief Legal & Compliance Offic ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Geoff E Tanner officer: Chief Marketing & Commercial ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Johnson Jonathan E Iii director 6322 S 300 S, STE 100, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84121
Nancy Lopez Knight director 2308 TARA DRIVE, ALBANY GA 31721
Jay L Henderson director 50 SOUTH LASALLE ST, CHICAGO IL 60603
Dawn C Willoughby director 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Sandra Pianalto director 1000 EATON BOULEVARD, CLEVELAND OH 44122

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