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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of SodaStream International Ltd was -1.70. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.19.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of SodaStream International Ltd for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.231||+||0.528 * 1.0233||+||0.404 * 0.9415||+||0.892 * 0.8754||+||0.115 * 1.1646|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9904||+||4.679 * -0.0988||-||0.327 * 0.839|
|This Year (Mar16) TTM:||Last Year (Mar15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $71.2 Mil.|
Revenue was 100.873 + 112.942 + 110.015 + 99.834 = $423.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51.172 + 52.033 + 50.76 + 48.527 = $202.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $247.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $454.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $162.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $17.4 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $180.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $80.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $23.2 Mil.
Net Income was 6.093 + 2.828 + 2.242 + 0.96 = $12.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.871 + 5.584 + 0 + -0.684 = $4.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 13.037 + 11.527 + 14.402 + 14.01 = $53.0 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $66.1 Mil.
Revenue was 90.344 + 126.526 + 125.905 + 141.171 = $483.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 45.451 + 55.508 + 64.477 + 71.257 = $236.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $272.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $452.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $132.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $16.9 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $207.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $100.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $22.8 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(71.192 / 423.664)||/||(66.059 / 483.946)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(52.033 / 483.946)||/||(51.172 / 423.664)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (247.435 + 162.103) / 454.259)||/||(1 - (272.249 + 132.627) / 452.154)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(16.854 / (16.854 + 132.627))||/||(17.376 / (17.376 + 162.103))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(180.191 / 423.664)||/||(207.819 / 483.946)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((23.221 + 80.729) / 454.259)||/||((22.789 + 100.537) / 452.154)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(12.123 - 4.029||-||52.976)||/||454.259|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
SodaStream International Ltd has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
SodaStream International Ltd Annual Data
SodaStream International Ltd Quarterly Data