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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Thermon Group Holdings Inc was -2.42. The lowest was -2.62. And the median was -2.52.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Thermon Group Holdings Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0331||+||0.528 * 0.9722||+||0.404 * 0.8631||+||0.892 * 1.1127||+||0.115 * 1.0739|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0553||+||4.679 * -0.0043||-||0.327 * 0.9493|
|This Year (Mar15) TTM:||Last Year (Mar14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $60.4 Mil.|
Revenue was 74.256 + 87.622 + 79.033 + 67.667 = $308.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 34.105 + 45.533 + 41.221 + 33.845 = $154.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $210.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $453.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $34.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.1 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $76.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $53.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $94.5 Mil.
Net Income was 10.501 + 15.603 + 11.748 + 11.534 = $49.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.94 + -0.496 + -0.855 + 0.017 = $-0.4 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 17.644 + 16.423 + 11.544 + 6.12 = $51.7 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $52.6 Mil.
Revenue was 67.475 + 71.465 + 72.783 + 65.6 = $277.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 32.745 + 36.056 + 35.355 + 31.014 = $135.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $175.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $442.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $31.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.2 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $65.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $43.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $108.0 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(60.441 / 308.578)||/||(52.578 / 277.323)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(45.533 / 277.323)||/||(34.105 / 308.578)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (210.704 + 34.824) / 453.309)||/||(1 - (175.828 + 31.532) / 442.18)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(14.178 / (14.178 + 31.532))||/||(14.143 / (14.143 + 34.824))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(76.868 / 308.578)||/||(65.463 / 277.323)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((94.5 + 53.138) / 453.309)||/||((108 + 43.707) / 442.18)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(49.386 - -0.394||-||51.731)||/||453.309|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Thermon Group Holdings Inc has a M-score of -2.42 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Thermon Group Holdings Inc Annual Data
Thermon Group Holdings Inc Quarterly Data