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United Airlines Holdings (United Airlines Holdings) Beneish M-Score

: -2.74 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Airlines Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

UAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.83   Med: -2.81   Max: -2.32
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of United Airlines Holdings was -2.32. The lowest was -8.83. And the median was -2.81.


United Airlines Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Airlines Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Airlines Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.63 -8.83 -3.00 -2.74

United Airlines Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.97 -3.06 -2.91 -2.74

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, United Airlines Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Airlines Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Airlines Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Airlines Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



United Airlines Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of United Airlines Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.882+0.528 * 0.8365+0.404 * 0.9394+0.892 * 1.1949+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0779+4.679 * -0.04876-0.327 * 0.9295
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,898 Mil.
Revenue was 13626 + 14484 + 14178 + 11429 = $53,717 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3689 + 4442 + 4880 + 2188 = $15,199 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $18,487 Mil.
Total Assets was $71,104 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $43,729 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,977 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $22,203 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $29,651 Mil.
Net Income was 599 + 1138 + 1075 + -194 = $2,618 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -52 + -71 + -754 + 51 = $-826 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -910 + 880 + 3799 + 3142 = $6,911 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,801 Mil.
Revenue was 12400 + 12877 + 12112 + 7566 = $44,955 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3572 + 3750 + 3025 + 293 = $10,640 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $20,058 Mil.
Total Assets was $67,358 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $38,337 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,535 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $19,992 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $32,857 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1898 / 53717) / (1801 / 44955)
=0.035333 / 0.040062
=0.882

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10640 / 44955) / (15199 / 53717)
=0.236681 / 0.282946
=0.8365

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18487 + 43729) / 71104) / (1 - (20058 + 38337) / 67358)
=0.125 / 0.133065
=0.9394

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=53717 / 44955
=1.1949

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 38337)) / (0 / (0 + 43729))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1977 / 53717) / (1535 / 44955)
=0.036804 / 0.034145
=1.0779

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((29651 + 22203) / 71104) / ((32857 + 19992) / 67358)
=0.72927 / 0.784599
=0.9295

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2618 - -826 - 6911) / 71104
=-0.04876

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

United Airlines Holdings has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


United Airlines Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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United Airlines Holdings (United Airlines Holdings) Business Description

Address
233 South Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
United Airlines is a major U.S. network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, New York/Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel than its large U.S. peers.
Executives
Kennedy James A C director T ROWE PRICE GROUP INC, 100 E PRATT ST, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Michael D. Leskinen officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Gerald Laderman officer: EVP and CFO 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Gregory L Hart officer: EVP & Chief Growth Officer 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FLOOR HDQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Edward M Philip director C/O HASBRO, INC., 1011 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861
Carolyn Corvi director 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Barney Harford director C/O ORBITZ WORLDWIDE, INC., 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60661
Michele J Hooper director C/O PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Edward Shapiro director 275 GROVE STREET, NEWTON MA 02466
Chris Kenny officer: Vice President & Controller 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Andrew P Nocella officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 233 S. WACKER DR. 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Torbjorn J Enqvist officer: EVP & Chief Operations Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Linda P Jojo officer: EVP & Chief Customer Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Kate Gebo officer: EVP HR and Labor Relations 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL - WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Brett J Hart officer: President 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL - WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606