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United Continental Holdings Inc (NYSE:UAL)
Beneish M-Score
0.00 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

United Continental Holdings Inc has a M-score of -3.57 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

UAL' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -3.91   Max: -1.35
Current: 0

-3.91
-1.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of United Continental Holdings Inc was -1.35. The lowest was -3.91. And the median was -2.86.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of United Continental Holdings Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0+0.528 * 0.9893+0.404 * 0+0.892 * 1.0162+0.115 * 0.1408
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.016+4.679 * -0.327 * 0
=-3.57

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Dec14) TTM:Last Year (Dec13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 9313 + 10563 + 10329 + 8696 = $38,901 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5203 + 5615 + 5377 + 4190 = $20,385 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,679 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $13,465 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0 Mil.
Net Income was 28 + 924 + 789 + -609 = $1,132 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -443 + -106 + 54 + -89 = $-584 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 574 + 1464 + 694 = $2,732 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $1,503 Mil.
Revenue was 9329 + 10228 + 10001 + 8721 = $38,279 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5511 + 5102 + 5083 + 4148 = $19,844 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,702 Mil.
Total Assets was $36,812 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $18,047 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,957 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $13,041 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,107 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $10,924 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 38901) / (1503 / 38279)
=0 / 0.03926435
=0

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5615 / 38279) / (5203 / 38901)
=0.51840435 / 0.52402252
=0.9893

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 0) / 0) / (1 - (8702 + 18047) / 36812)
= / 0.27336195
=0

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=38901 / 38279
=1.0162

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2957 / (2957 + 18047)) / (1679 / (1679 + 0))
=0.14078271 / 1
=0.1408

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13465 / 38901) / (13041 / 38279)
=0.34613506 / 0.34068288
=1.016

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 0) / 0) / ((10924 + 12107) / 36812)
= / 0.62563838
=0

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1132 - -584 - 2732) / 0
=

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

United Continental Holdings Inc has a M-score of -3.57 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

United Continental Holdings Inc Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
DSRI 1.03980.8021.28651.52030.52920.98421.0902
GMI 1.42971.51040.75691.15671.0730.98970.9384
AQI 0.92850.78840.90861.33871.03880.98240.9999
SGI 1.04151.00250.80891.42791.5911.00111.0303
DEPI 0.95480.90850.97231.4240.69521.06440.9453
SGAI 1.79580.78641.16830.90940.97881.01511.0358
LVGI 0.96941.15081.02070.84370.9471.06410.9789
TATA -0.0732-0.1853-0.0885-0.0429-0.0392-0.0444-0.0238
M-score -2.68-3.37-3.01-1.49-2.53-2.73-2.52

United Continental Holdings Inc Quarterly Data

Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14
DSRI 1.06570.98420.88560.96050.90261.09020.93370.93020.8909
GMI 0.85430.87920.971.14081.14061.08651.01680.93470.9217
AQI 1.01090.98241.06621.01820.9960.99990.91930.94680.9548
SGI 1.021.00110.99360.99181.00731.03031.02641.03351.0336
DEPI 1.03450.64610.62390.62870.61350.94670.98960.99471.0111
SGAI 1.4051.00761.02820.88840.84550.98410.97551.01191.0062
LVGI 1.01991.06411.03931.01461.02220.97890.99440.99590.9773
TATA -0.0358-0.0444-0.0517-0.0501-0.0544-0.0238-0.0338-0.0372-0.028
M-score -2.71-2.84-2.88-2.70-2.77-2.43-2.69-2.75-2.73
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