UPL has been removed from your Stock Email Alerts list.
Please enter Portfolio Name for new portfolio.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
Ultra Petroleum Corp has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ultra Petroleum Corp was -0.57. The lowest was -10000000.00. And the median was -3.43.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Ultra Petroleum Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9495||+||0.528 * 0.9573||+||0.404 * 1.1039||+||0.892 * 1.2775||+||0.115 * 1.8215|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.6836||+||4.679 * -0.0764||-||0.327 * 0.8265|
|This Year (Mar14) TTM:||Last Year (Mar13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $134.0 Mil.|
Revenue was 326.299 + 225.197 + 221.205 + 261.376 = $1,034.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 240.996 + 152.319 + 148.277 + 184.373 = $726.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $158.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,881.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,706.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $245.1 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $22.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $532.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,325.0 Mil.
Net Income was 101.715 + 41.121 + 63.91 + 116.377 = $323.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -42.683 + -23.871 + 4.649 + 24.732 = $-37.2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 175.575 + 145.567 + 117.937 + 141.274 = $580.4 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $110.5 Mil.
Revenue was 225.626 + 217.185 + 196.375 + 170.27 = $809.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 153.061 + 151.17 + 133.258 + 106.532 = $544.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $129.1 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,035.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,895.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $337.8 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $26.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $422.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,020.1 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(133.973 / 1034.077)||/||(110.454 / 809.456)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(152.319 / 809.456)||/||(240.996 / 1034.077)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (158.029 + 2706.481) / 2881.842)||/||(1 - (129.063 + 1895.231) / 2035.383)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(337.751 / (337.751 + 1895.231))||/||(245.103 / (245.103 + 2706.481))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(22.757 / 1034.077)||/||(26.057 / 809.456)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((2325 + 532.839) / 2881.842)||/||((2020.066 + 422.094) / 2035.383)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(323.123 - -37.173||-||580.353)||/||2881.842|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Ultra Petroleum Corp has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Ultra Petroleum Corp Annual Data
Ultra Petroleum Corp Quarterly Data