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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc was 2.53. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -2.41.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0893||+||0.528 * 0.9192||+||0.404 * 1.0951||+||0.892 * 1.2292||+||0.115 * 1.0501|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0319||+||4.679 * -0.0318||-||0.327 * 1.0204|
|This Year (Jun15) TTM:||Last Year (Jun14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $2,371 Mil.|
Revenue was 2732.4 + 2190.9 + 2280 + 2056.2 = $9,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2047.3 + 1616.2 + 1690.2 + 1495.4 = $6,849 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,345 Mil.
Total Assets was $48,343 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,360 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,971 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,288 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,291 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $30,290 Mil.
Net Income was -53 + 73.7 + 534.9 + 275.4 = $831 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 5.6 + -91.1 + 169.7 + -49.6 = $35 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 410.5 + 491.1 + 815.7 + 618.7 = $2,336 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $1,771 Mil.
Revenue was 2041.1 + 1886.2 + 2063.8 + 1541.7 = $7,533 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1455.5 + 1367.8 + 1331.9 + 966.5 = $5,122 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,164 Mil.
Total Assets was $27,896 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,320 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,165 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,804 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,496 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $17,059 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(2371 / 9259.5)||/||(1770.7 / 7532.8)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(1616.2 / 7532.8)||/||(2047.3 / 9259.5)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (6345.2 + 1359.9) / 48343.2)||/||(1 - (5163.7 + 1319.6) / 27895.6)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(2165.3 / (2165.3 + 1319.6))||/||(1970.8 / (1970.8 + 1359.9))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(2287.9 / 9259.5)||/||(1803.7 / 7532.8)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((30290.2 + 4291) / 48343.2)||/||((17058.8 + 2496.3) / 27895.6)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(831 - 34.6||-||2336)||/||48343.2|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc Annual Data
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc Quarterly Data