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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
Willis Group Holdings PLC has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Willis Group Holdings PLC was -2.19. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.42.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Willis Group Holdings PLC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0717||+||0.528 * 1||+||0.404 * 1.0381||+||0.892 * 1.052||+||0.115 * 1.0536|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.8277||+||4.679 * -0.0047||-||0.327 * 0.9616|
|This Year (Mar14) TTM:||Last Year (Mar13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $1,185 Mil.|
Revenue was 1097 + 919 + 795 + 890 = $3,701 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1097 + 919 + 795 + 890 = $3,701 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,445 Mil.
Total Assets was $15,828 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $482 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $145 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,209 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,276 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,307 Mil.
Net Income was 246 + 68 + -27 + 105 = $392 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + -60 + 0 = $-60 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5 + 195 + 229 + 98 = $527 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $1,051 Mil.
Revenue was 1051 + 871 + 754 + 842 = $3,518 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1051 + 871 + 754 + 842 = $3,518 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,630 Mil.
Total Assets was $15,837 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $447 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $144 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,537 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,706 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,387 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(1185 / 3701)||/||(1051 / 3518)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(919 / 3518)||/||(1097 / 3701)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (11445 + 482) / 15828)||/||(1 - (11630 + 447) / 15837)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(144 / (144 + 447))||/||(145 / (145 + 482))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(2209 / 3701)||/||(2537 / 3518)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((2307 + 10276) / 15828)||/||((2387 + 10706) / 15837)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(392 - -60||-||527)||/||15828|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Willis Group Holdings PLC has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Willis Group Holdings PLC Annual Data
Willis Group Holdings PLC Quarterly Data