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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Willis Towers Watson's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Willis Towers Watson was -1.44. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.41.
The historical data trend for Willis Towers Watson's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Willis Towers Watson Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.37 | -2.72 | -2.36 | -2.48 | -2.28 |
Willis Towers Watson Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.48 | -2.47 | -2.50 | -2.25 | -2.28 |
For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, Willis Towers Watson's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Willis Towers Watson's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Willis Towers Watson's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Willis Towers Watson for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9957 | + | 0.528 * 0.9822 | + | 0.404 * 1.0728 | + | 0.892 * 1.0696 | + | 0.115 * 1.0742 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.3796 | + | 4.679 * -0.000447 | - | 0.327 * 0.9775 | |||||||
= | -2.28 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $2,787 Mil. Revenue was 2914 + 2166 + 2159 + 2244 = $9,483 Mil. Gross Profit was 1589 + 807 + 812 + 931 = $4,139 Mil. Total Current Assets was $13,433 Mil. Total Assets was $29,090 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,285 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $505 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $-54 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $12,630 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,166 Mil. Net Income was 622 + 136 + 94 + 203 = $1,055 Mil. Non Operating Income was -54 + -93 + -93 + -37 = $-277 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 522 + 393 + 296 + 134 = $1,345 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $2,617 Mil. Revenue was 2722 + 1953 + 2031 + 2160 = $8,866 Mil. Gross Profit was 1459 + 728 + 772 + 842 = $3,801 Mil. Total Current Assets was $15,835 Mil. Total Assets was $31,769 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,304 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $567 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $-133 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $14,779 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,103 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (2787 / 9483) | / | (2617 / 8866) | |
= | 0.293894 | / | 0.295173 | |
= | 0.9957 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (3801 / 8866) | / | (4139 / 9483) | |
= | 0.428716 | / | 0.436465 | |
= | 0.9822 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (13433 + 1285) / 29090) | / | (1 - (15835 + 1304) / 31769) | |
= | 0.494053 | / | 0.460512 | |
= | 1.0728 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 9483 | / | 8866 | |
= | 1.0696 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (567 / (567 + 1304)) | / | (505 / (505 + 1285)) | |
= | 0.303046 | / | 0.282123 | |
= | 1.0742 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (-54 / 9483) | / | (-133 / 8866) | |
= | -0.005694 | / | -0.015001 | |
= | 0.3796 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((5166 + 12630) / 29090) | / | ((5103 + 14779) / 31769) | |
= | 0.611757 | / | 0.62583 | |
= | 0.9775 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (1055 - -277 | - | 1345) | / | 29090 | |
= | -0.000447 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Willis Towers Watson has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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Pamela Thomson-hall | officer: Head of International | 51 LIME STREET, LONDON X0 EC3M 7DQ |
Anne Pullum | officer: Head of Strategy and CAO | C/O WILLIS TOWERS WATSON, 200 LIBERTY ST, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281 |
Julie Jarecke Gebauer | officer: Head of Human Capital&Benefits | JUPITER SATURN HOLDING CO, 875 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Fredric J Tomczyk | director | TORONTO DOMINION CENTRE, PO BOX 1, TORONTO A6 M5K IA2 |
Stephen M. Chipman | director | 3101 DREXEL DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75205 |
Jacqueline Hunt | director | 53 SOUTH GREEN, MATTISHALL, NORFOLK X0 N220 3JY |
Anne Donovan Bodnar | officer: Head of Human Resources | 901 N. GLEBE ROAD, ARLINGTON VA 22203 |
Gene H Wickes | officer: Head of Exchange Solutions | 901 N GLEBE ROAD, ARLINGTON VA 22203 |
Brendan R Oneill | director | C/O IMPERIAL CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES PLC, 20 MANCHESTER SQUARE, LONDON X0 W1U 3AN |
Paul C Reilly | director | 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716 |
Alexis Faber | officer: Chief Operating Officer | 3340 PLAYERS CLUB PARKWAY, SUITE 200, MEMPHIS TN 38125 |
Andrew Jay Krasner | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 1450 BRICKELL AVENUE, SUITE 1600, MIAMI FL 33131 |
Fumbi F. Chima | director | 44 THORNBURY CT., 36-38 CHEPSTOW VILLAS, LONDON X0 WII 2RE |
Michelle R Swanback | director | 7001 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, DENVER CO 80237 |
Inga K Beale | director | C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092 |
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