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Xinyuan Real Estate Co (Xinyuan Real Estate Co) Beneish M-Score : -2.35 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Xinyuan Real Estate Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XIN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.64   Med: -1.92   Max: 10.24
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Xinyuan Real Estate Co was 10.24. The lowest was -2.64. And the median was -1.92.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -2.00 -2.29 -1.51 -2.35

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.51 - -2.35 -

Competitive Comparison of Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xinyuan Real Estate Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Xinyuan Real Estate Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Xinyuan Real Estate Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5924+0.528 * 0.5839+0.404 * 0.6295+0.892 * 0.6185+0.115 * 1.1623
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7994+4.679 * 0.053493-0.327 * 1.0331
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was $621.3 Mil.
Revenue was $950.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was $72.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,889.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,850.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $34.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $13.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $125.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,793.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $409.0 Mil.
Net Income was $-263.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-46.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $-530.3 Mil.
Total Receivables was $630.8 Mil.
Revenue was $1,536.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was $67.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,785.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,446.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $38.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $18.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $254.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,777.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $770.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(621.286 / 950.012) / (630.817 / 1536.018)
=0.653977 / 0.410683
=1.5924

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(67.937 / 1536.018) / (71.956 / 950.012)
=0.044229 / 0.075742
=0.5839

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4889.207 + 34.539) / 5850.278) / (1 - (4785.819 + 38.673) / 6446.279)
=0.158374 / 0.251585
=0.6295

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=950.012 / 1536.018
=0.6185

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(18.268 / (18.268 + 38.673)) / (13.168 / (13.168 + 34.539))
=0.320823 / 0.276018
=1.1623

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(125.565 / 950.012) / (253.979 / 1536.018)
=0.132172 / 0.165349
=0.7994

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((408.995 + 4792.96) / 5850.278) / ((770.463 + 4777.783) / 6446.279)
=0.889181 / 0.86069
=1.0331

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-263.354 - -46.031 - -530.273) / 5850.278
=0.053493

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Xinyuan Real Estate Co has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Xinyuan Real Estate Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Xinyuan Real Estate Co (Xinyuan Real Estate Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
79 Jianguo Road, 27th Floor, China Central Place, Tower II, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100025
Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd operates as a real estate developer and property manager in China. It develops and manages large-scale, high-quality real estate projects in over ten tier one and tier two cities, including Beijing, Shanghai, Zhengzhou, Suzhou, among others. It aims to provide comfortable and convenient real estate-related products and services to middle-class consumers. Xinyuan's product portfolio consists of multiple-rise buildings, sub-high-rise buildings, and high-rise buildings, together with auxiliary services and amenities such as retail outlets, leisure and health facilities, kindergartens and schools. In addition, the company provides property management services for its projects and other real estate-related services to its customers.