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TAL Education Group (NYSE:XRS)
Beneish M-Score
0.00 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

TAL Education Group has a M-score of signals that the company is a manipulator.

XRS' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -2.96   Max: -1.96
Current: 0

-2.96
-1.96

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TAL Education Group was -1.96. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.46.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TAL Education Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (May14) TTM:Last Year (May13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $11.8 Mil.
Revenue was 89.026 + 86.999 + 73.53 + 91.968 = $341.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 47.332 + 46.231 + 37.668 + 48.974 = $180.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $615.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $747.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $79.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $10.0 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $117.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $271.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0.0 Mil.
Net Income was 13.35 + 16.71 + 12.509 + 23.329 = $65.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.282 + -0.365 + 0.002 + -0.272 = $-0.9 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 101.558 + 0 + 0 = $101.6 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $0.0 Mil.
Revenue was 61.398 + 59.648 + 48.905 + 68.064 = $238.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29.479 + 28.259 + 22.167 + 36.219 = $116.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was $0.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $7.4 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $84.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0.0 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11.825 / 341.523) / (0 / 238.015)
=0.03462432 / 0
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(46.231 / 238.015) / (47.332 / 341.523)
=0.48788522 / 0.52765114
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (615.162 + 79.275) / 747.747) / (1 - (0 + 0) / 0)
=0.07129417 / 1
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=341.523 / 238.015
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7.367 / (7.367 + 0)) / (10.011 / (10.011 + 79.275))
=1 / 0.11212284
=

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(117.028 / 341.523) / (84.057 / 238.015)
=0.34266506 / 0.35315841
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 271.376) / 747.747) / ((0 + 0) / 0)
=0.36292489 / 0
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(65.898 - -0.917 - 101.558) / 747.747
=-0.0465

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TAL Education Group has a M-score of signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

TAL Education Group Annual Data

Feb09Feb10Feb11Feb12Feb13Feb14
DSRI 1.1954.6224
GMI 0.94640.9429
AQI 1.63482.663
SGI 1.27271.3893
DEPI 0.7830.7813
SGAI 1.01530.9688
LVGI 1.1120.99
TATA -0.1036-0.0968
M-score -2.381.37

TAL Education Group Quarterly Data

Feb12May12Aug12Nov12Feb13May13Aug13Nov13Feb14May14
DSRI 1111111
GMI 1.01060.98530.94640.9710.95940.94290.9246
AQI 1.46280.12441.63481.1651.09712.6631.6705
SGI 1.47681.37461.27271.24581.31141.38931.4349
DEPI 3.25832.98010.7830.81590.82680.78138.9188
SGAI 1.06231.01681.01531.01760.98720.96880.9703
LVGI 1.11311.39211.1121.15450.95630.990.9213
TATA -0.1284-0.1175-0.1036-0.0596-0.0338-0.0968-0.0465
M-score -2.25-2.96-2.56-2.56-2.35-1.96-1.14
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