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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
YRC Worldwide Inc has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of YRC Worldwide Inc was 2.68. The lowest was -5.32. And the median was -2.80.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of YRC Worldwide Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0403||+||0.528 * 1.0133||+||0.404 * 0.8296||+||0.892 * 1.0197||+||0.115 * 0.9632|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0109||+||4.679 * -0.0547||-||0.327 * 0.9319|
|This Year (Mar14) TTM:||Last Year (Mar13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $536 Mil.|
Revenue was 1210.9 + 1207.7 + 1252.7 + 1242.5 = $4,914 Mil.
Gross Profit was 795.3 + 795.9 + 829.3 + 831 = $3,252 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $949 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,215 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $170 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,848 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $756 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,098 Mil.
Net Income was -70.2 + 0.4 + -44.4 + -15.1 = $-129 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 16.3 + 3 + 0.2 + 2.5 = $22 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -56.2 + 15.1 + 15.2 + -4.3 = $-30 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $505 Mil.
Revenue was 1162.5 + 1168.6 + 1236.8 + 1250.8 = $4,819 Mil.
Gross Profit was 779.8 + 778 + 834.6 + 838.7 = $3,231 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $791 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,201 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,167 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $178 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,763 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $680 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,296 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(535.7 / 4913.8)||/||(505 / 4818.7)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(795.9 / 4818.7)||/||(795.3 / 4913.8)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (949.1 + 1063.2) / 2215.1)||/||(1 - (790.8 + 1167.2) / 2200.9)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(178.4 / (178.4 + 1167.2))||/||(169.7 / (169.7 + 1063.2))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(2847.8 / 4913.8)||/||(2762.6 / 4818.7)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((1097.5 + 755.5) / 2215.1)||/||((1296 + 679.7) / 2200.9)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(-129.3 - 22||-||-30.2)||/||2215.1|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
YRC Worldwide Inc has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
YRC Worldwide Inc Annual Data
YRC Worldwide Inc Quarterly Data