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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Yum Brands Inc was 0.39. The lowest was -4.86. And the median was -2.76.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Yum Brands Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0613||+||0.528 * 1.0342||+||0.404 * 0.8941||+||0.892 * 0.9928||+||0.115 * 0.9911|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0299||+||4.679 * -0.1017||-||0.327 * 1.1123|
|This Year (Mar15) TTM:||Last Year (Mar14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $373 Mil.|
Revenue was 2622 + 3997 + 3354 + 3204 = $13,177 Mil.
Gross Profit was 825 + 798 + 892 + 840 = $3,355 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,783 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,305 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,374 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $738 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,410 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $3,121 Mil.
Net Income was 362 + -86 + 404 + 334 = $1,014 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + -80 + -56 + 0 = $-136 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 516 + 437 + 528 + 514 = $1,995 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $354 Mil.
Revenue was 2724 + 4179 + 3466 + 2904 = $13,273 Mil.
Gross Profit was 873 + 940 + 976 + 706 = $3,495 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,809 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,705 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,378 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $731 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,379 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,150 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,949 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(373 / 13177)||/||(354 / 13273)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(798 / 13273)||/||(825 / 13177)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1783 + 4374) / 8305)||/||(1 - (1809 + 4378) / 8705)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(731 / (731 + 4378))||/||(738 / (738 + 4374))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(1410 / 13177)||/||(1379 / 13273)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((3121 + 2290) / 8305)||/||((2949 + 2150) / 8705)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(1014 - -136||-||1995)||/||8305|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Yum Brands Inc has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Yum Brands Inc Annual Data
Yum Brands Inc Quarterly Data