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Zumiez (Zumiez) Beneish M-Score

: -3.54 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zumiez's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ZUMZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.69   Max: -1.71
Current: -3.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zumiez was -1.71. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.69.


Zumiez Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zumiez's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zumiez Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.24 -2.75 -2.65 -1.71 -3.54

Zumiez Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.71 -2.51 -2.39 -2.41 -3.54

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Zumiez's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zumiez Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Zumiez's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zumiez's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Zumiez Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zumiez for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7318+0.528 * 1.0559+0.404 * 0.6181+0.892 * 0.9135+0.115 * 0.8725
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2889+4.679 * -0.115556-0.327 * 1.0227
=-3.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $13.8 Mil.
Revenue was 281.822 + 216.339 + 194.438 + 182.887 = $875.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 96.651 + 73.204 + 61.678 + 49.358 = $280.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $326.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $664.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $287.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $22.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $345.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $144.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $159.9 Mil.
Net Income was -33.488 + -2.231 + -8.509 + -18.382 = $-62.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.545 + -1.037 + 0.423 + -0.541 = $-0.6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 37.677 + 1.344 + -11.387 + -12.879 = $14.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was $20.6 Mil.
Revenue was 280.11 + 237.591 + 219.993 + 220.686 = $958.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 95.269 + 81.983 + 75.064 + 72.374 = $324.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $340.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $747.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $316.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $21.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $293.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $145.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $188.8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13.78 / 875.486) / (20.613 / 958.38)
=0.01574 / 0.021508
=0.7318

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(324.69 / 958.38) / (280.891 / 875.486)
=0.33879 / 0.32084
=1.0559

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (326.587 + 287.283) / 664.226) / (1 - (340.178 + 315.986) / 747.903)
=0.075812 / 0.122662
=0.6181

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=875.486 / 958.38
=0.9135

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(21.626 / (21.626 + 315.986)) / (22.763 / (22.763 + 287.283))
=0.064056 / 0.073418
=0.8725

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(345.68 / 875.486) / (293.589 / 958.38)
=0.394844 / 0.306339
=1.2889

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((159.877 + 144.087) / 664.226) / ((188.835 + 145.809) / 747.903)
=0.457621 / 0.447443
=1.0227

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-62.61 - -0.61 - 14.755) / 664.226
=-0.115556

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zumiez has a M-score of -3.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Zumiez (Zumiez) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4001 204th Street SW, Lynnwood, WA, USA, 98036
Zumiez Inc is a United-States-based specialty retailer engaged in the sale of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods. The company provides merchandise with cultural elements coming from fashion, music, art and from action sports, streetwear, and other unique lifestyles. The company operates under the brands Zumiez and Blue Tomato, and through both physical stores and websites. Most of the company's stores are located in the U.S., with the rest in Canada, Australia, and Europe. The U.S. market contributes to the majority of the company's revenue.
Executives
Guy Matthew Harkless director 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
James P. Murphy director 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Adam Christopher Ellis officer: President International 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
Richard Miles Brooks officer: President and CEO 6300 MERRILL CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE B, EVERETT WA 98203
Troy R. Brown officer: Ex. V.P. of E-commerce 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
Carmen Bauza director 2400 WEST CENTRAL ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192
Chris K. Visser officer: General Counsel & Corp. Sec. 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
Holmes Kalen director 2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Thomas D Campion director, officer: Chairman of Board of Directors 6300 MERRILL CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE B, EVERETT WA 98203
Work Christopher Codington officer: Chief Financial Officer 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
Sarah Gaines Mccoy director 6300 MERRILL CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE B, EVERETT WA 98203-5862
Scott Andrew Bailey director 4001 204TH STREET SW, LYNNWOOD WA 98036
Matthew L Hyde director C/O REI, 6750 SOUTH 228TH ST., KENT WA 98032
Ernest R Johnson director
Steve Louden director C/O ROKU, INC., 150 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032

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