Array Technologies (Array Technologies) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Array Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Array Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Array Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Array Technologies's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Array Technologies (Array Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Array Technologies Inc (NAS:ARRY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

9AY:Germany 9AY:Germany

Address

3901 Midway Place NE, Albuquerque, NM, USA, 87109

Website

https://www.arraytechinc.com

Array Technologies Inc manufacturer of ground-mounting systems used in solar energy projects. The company's product is an integrated system of steel supports, electric motors, gearboxes and electronic controllers referred to as a single-axis tracker that move solar panels throughout the day to maintain an optimal orientation to the sun, which increases their energy production. Its operations are in the United States, Australia, Spain, Brazil and Rest of the World with the United States deriving the majority of the revenue.

Executives

Tyson Hottinger	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Nipul M. Patel	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Neil Manning	officer: Chief Operations Officer	3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Thierry Marin-martinod	officer: Chief Technology Officer	3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Tracy C Jokinen	director	5995 OPUS PARKWAY, SUITE 500, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Kenneth R. Stacherski	officer: Chief Operations Officer	500 W MONROE, CHICAGO IL 60661
Gerrard Schmid	director	C/O DIEBOLD NIXDORF, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Terrance L Collins	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 475 HALF DAY ROAD, SUITE 500, LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60069
Erica Brinker	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Kevin G. Hostetler	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1925 WEST FIELD COURT, SUITE 200, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Paulo Almirante	director	3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Travis Rose	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Bilal Khan	director	C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jayanthi Iyengar	director	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
Ati Investment Parent, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109