Beasley Broadcast Group (Beasley Broadcast Group) Predictability Rank

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Beasley Broadcast Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Beasley Broadcast Group (Beasley Broadcast Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Beasley Broadcast Group Inc (NAS:BBGI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

BZS:Germany

Address

3033 Riviera Drive, Suite 200, Naples, FL, USA, 34103

Website

https://www.bbgi.com

Beasley Broadcast Group Inc is a multi-platform media company, whose primary business is operating radio stations throughout the United States. The Company offers local and national advertisers integrated marketing solutions across audio, digital and event platforms. The Company owns and operates stations in the following markets: Atlanta, GA, Augusta, GA, Boston, MA, Charlotte, NC, Detroit, MI, Fayetteville, NC, Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Las Vegas, NV, Middlesex, NJ, Monmouth, NJ, Morristown, NJ, Philadelphia, PA, Tampa-Saint Petersburg, FL, and Wilmington, DE. The Company currently operates three operating segments Audio, Digital and esports.

Executives

Caroline Beasley	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CFO
Bruce G Beasley	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	3033 RIVIERA DRIVE, SUITE 200, NAPLES FL 34103
Bradley C Beasley	10 percent owner	3033 RIVERA DRIVE, SUITE 200, NAPLES FL 34103
Brian E Beasley	director, officer: Vice President of Operations	3033 RIVERA DRIVE, SUITE 200, NAPLES FL 34103
Gordon H Smith	director	6903 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 21771
Christopher D. Ornelas	officer: General Counsel	C/O BEASLEY BROADCAST GROUP, INC., 3033 RIVIERA DRIVE, SUITE 200, NAPLES FL 34103
Warfield Charles M. Jr.	director	C/O BEASLEY BROADCAST GROUP, INC., 3033 RIVIERA DRIVE, SUITE 200, NAPLES FL 34103
George G Beasley	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO
Leslie V Godridge	director
Mark S Fowler	director	C/O TALK AMERICA HOLDINGS, INC., 12020 SUNRISE VALLEY DR, STE. 250, RESTON VA 20191
Cristina Bordes 2009 Gift Trust	other: See Remarks	C/O CARTER LEDYARD & MILBURN LLP, TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Stephanie L. Bordes	other: See Remarks	C/O CARTER LEDYARD & MILBURN LLP, TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Stephen M. Bordes	other: See Remarks	C/O CARTER LEDYARD & MILBURN LLP, TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Cristina Bordes	10 percent owner	C/O CARTER LEDYARD & MILBURN LLP, TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Bordes 2015 Grat #7 Lee	other: See Remarks	C/O CARTER LEDYARD & MILBURN LLP, TWO WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005