Endeavor Group Holdings (Endeavor Group Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Endeavor Group Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Endeavor Group Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Endeavor Group Holdings (Endeavor Group Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Endeavor Group Holdings Inc (NYSE:EDR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

EDR:Mexico

Address

9601 Wilshire Boulevard, 3rd Floor, Beverly Hills, CA, USA, 90210

Website

https://www.endeavorco.com

Endeavor Group Holdings Inc is an entertainment, sports and content company. It offers services through its integrated capabilities of talent representation, content development, content distribution and sales, event management, marketing and licensing, and direct-to-consumer offerings. It operates its business in three segments: Owned Sports Properties; Events, Experiences & Rights; and Representation.

Executives

William K. Fullerton	officer: Global Controller and CAO	C/O ENDEARVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Seth D Krauss	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 222 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Jason Lublin	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Mark S Shapiro	officer: President	C/O RED ZONE LLC, 21300 REDSKIN PARK DRIVE, ASHBURN VA 20147
Ariel Emanuel	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SOURCE INTERLINK COMPANIES, INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, SUITE 400, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Patrick Whitesell	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman	11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1600, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Christian Muirhead	officer: Chief Communications Officer	C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Jacqueline D Reses	director	C/O SQUARE, INC., 1455 MARKET STREET #600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Silver Lake West Voteco, L.l.c.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake West Holdco, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake West Holdco Ii, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Ursula M Burns	director	200 SE MIZNER BLVD, UNIT 703, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Kerry D Chandler	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	1020 HULL STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21230
Silver Lake Technology Investors Iv (delaware Ii), L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Associates Vi, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025