Lakeland Industries (Lakeland Industries) Predictability Rank

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Lakeland Industries Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Lakeland Industries (Lakeland Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories » Lakeland Industries Inc (NAS:LAKE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

LLI:Germany

Address

1525 Perimeter Parkway, Suite 325, Huntsville, AL, USA, 35806

Website

https://www.lakeland.com

Lakeland Industries Inc manufactures and sells safety garments and accessories for the industrial protective clothing market. Its product segments include Disposables, Chemicals, Fire, Gloves, High Visibility, High-Performance Wear, and Wovens. Its customers include integrated oil, chemical/petrochemical, utilities, automobile, steel, glass, construction, smelting, munition plants, janitorial, pharmaceutical, and mortuaries, as well as scientific and medical laboratories. The company's geographical segments include the United States, Latin America, Canada, Asia, Mexico, Europe (United Kingdom), and Other Foreign.

Executives

Joshua J Sletten	officer: VP Corp Development & Strategy	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Melissa Kidd	director	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Herring Ronald N Jr	director
Roger D Shannon	officer: Chief Financial Officer	15415 SHELBYVILLE ROAD, LOUISVILLE KY 40245
An Hui	officer: VP of Procurement & Asia Mfg.	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSTVILLE AL 35806
Christopher James Ryan	director	3555 VETERANS MEMORIAL HWY, SUITE C, RONKONKOMA NY 11779
Allen E Dillard	officer: COO & CFO	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Charles D Roberson	director, officer: CEO, President and Secretary	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Steven L Harvey	officer: Exec. VP, Sales and Marketing	1525 PERIMETER PARKWAY, SUITE 325, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Thomas J Mcateer	director	54 CEDAR POINT DRIVE, WEST ISLIP NY 11795
Jeffrey T Schlarbaum	director	105 NORTON STREET, NEWARK NY 14513
Nikki Hamblin	director	2 RED OAK LANE, PITTSFORD NY 14534
Alfred John Kreft	director	3333 ALLEN PARK WAY, #2004, HOUSTON TX 77019
Daniel L. Edwards	officer: Sr. VP Sales for North America	6794 MEADOW VIEW DRIVE, SUMMERFIELD NC 27358
Stephen M Bachelder	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	3555 VETERANS MEMORIAL HWY, SUITE C, RONKONKOMA NY 11779