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National Bank of Greece (NYSE:NBG)
Free Cash Flow
\$-6,329 Mil (TTM As of Sep. 2014)

National Bank of Greece's total free cash flow for the three months ended in Sep. 2014 was \$-1,097 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2014 was \$-6,329 Mil.

National Bank of Greece's free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Sep. 2014 was \$-0.39. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2014 was \$-2.36.

During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -57.20% per year.

During the past 13 years, National Bank of Greece's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 40.20% per year. The lowest was -57.20% per year. And the median was -15.10% per year.

Definition

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a companys earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any years Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Note: GuruFocus does not calculate Free Cash Flow when Cash Flow for Capital Expenditures is 0.

National Bank of Greece's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2013 is calculated as

 Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2013 ) = Cash Flow from Operations + Cash Flow for Capital Expenditures = 1462.27709191 + -274.348422497 = 1,188

National Bank of Greece's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2014 is calculated as

 Free Cash Flow (Q: Sep. 2014 ) = Cash Flow from Operations + Cash Flow for Capital Expenditures = -934.278350515 + -162.371134021 = -1,097

National Bank of Greece Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2014 was 2844.99314129 (Dec. 2013 ) + 82.9875518672 (Mar. 2014 ) + -8160.32608696 (Jun. 2014 ) + -1096.64948454 (Sep. 2014 ) = \$-6,329 Mil.

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffetts definition of Owners Earnings, except that in Warren Buffetts Owners Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owners Earnings.

In Don Yacktmans calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. \$70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Therefore, as of Sep14, National Bank of Greece's Forward Rate of Return is

 Forward Rate of Return (Sep14) = Normalized Free Cash Flow / Price + Growth rate = 52.974 / 3.01 + -0.3271 = 1,727.22 %

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.

Related Terms

Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

National Bank of Greece Annual Data

 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Cash Flow from Operations 4,406 -2,062 2,694 3,926 7,663 -543 1,814 -452 -2,245 1,462 Cash Flow_CPEX -219 -16 -6 -185 -337 -286 -219 -189 -175 -274 total_freecashflow 4,187 -2,078 2,689 3,741 7,326 -829 1,595 -642 -2,420 1,188

National Bank of Greece Quarterly Data

 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Cash Flow from Operations 1,014 -1,897 125 204 -1,076 -521 2,900 416 -7,715 -934 Cash Flow_CPEX -66 -86 27 -58 -90 -63 -55 -333 -446 -162 total_freecashflow 949 -1,983 152 146 -1,166 -583 2,845 83 -8,160 -1,097
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