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National CineMedia (National CineMedia) Free Cash Flow : $-10.0 Mil (TTM As of Dec. 2023)


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What is National CineMedia Free Cash Flow?

National CineMedia's total free cash flow for the months ended in Dec. 2023 was $14.0 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $-10.0 Mil.

National CineMedia's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.15. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.01.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 13 years, National CineMedia's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 423.90% per year. The lowest was -27.60% per year. And the median was -6.05% per year.


National CineMedia Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for National CineMedia's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National CineMedia Free Cash Flow Chart

National CineMedia Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 129.60 47.30 -100.90 -50.20 -10.00

National CineMedia Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.50 9.40 -6.00 -27.40 14.00

National CineMedia Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

National CineMedia's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=-6.7+-3.3
=-10.0

National CineMedia's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Dec. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=15.6+-1.6
=14.0

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $-10.0 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National CineMedia  (NAS:NCMI) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Dec23, National CineMedia's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Dec23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=11.24152381/4.14+-0.2367
=247.86 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


National CineMedia Free Cash Flow Related Terms

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National CineMedia (National CineMedia) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6300 South Syracuse Way, Suite 300, Centennial, CO, USA, 80111
National CineMedia Inc is a holding company that operates a digital in-theatre media network across North America. The company displays ads in movie theaters, online, and through mobile video. National CineMedia's most important operation is First Look, its prefeature programming that plays before a movie and related trailers start. The company also operates an online and mobile network in combination with movie theaters that include movie content, trailers, showtimes, and other features. The company derives revenue from the sale of advertising to national, regional and local businesses in Noovie show, cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens across the U.S.
Executives
Scott D Felenstein officer: EVP and Chief Revenue Officer C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S. SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Ronnie Y. Ng officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Maria Vg Woods officer: EVP, General Counsel C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Blantyre Fund Iii (gp) Ltd 10 percent owner UGLAND HOUSE, PO BOX 309, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Joe Marchese director C/O CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HOLDINGS, INC., 4830 NORTH LOOP 1604W, SUITE 111, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Blantyre Capital Ltd 10 percent owner C/O BLANTYRE CAPITAL LIMITED, 52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON X0 SW1Y 6LX
Jean-philippe Maheu director C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S. SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Tiago Lourenco director C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S. SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Nicholas Bell director C/O NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC., 6300 S. SYRACUSE WAY, SUITE 300, CENTENNIAL CO 80111
Bssf Ii Ireland Dac 10 percent owner IVEAGH COURT, HARCOURT ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, BLOCK E, DUBLIN L2 2
Blantyre Fund Ii (gp) Ltd 10 percent owner UGLAND HOUSE, PO BOX 309, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Blantyre Mulanje Ii Gp Ltd 10 percent owner UGLAND HOUSE, PO BOX 309, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Iii Dac Bssf 10 percent owner IVEAGH COURT, HARCOURT ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, BLOCK E, DUBLIN L2 2
Lauren Zalaznick director 425 LEXINGTON AVENUE, (ATTN: ANDREA ANDREZO), NEW YORK NY 10017
Mubashir Mukadam 10 percent owner C/O BLANTYRE CAPITAL LIMITED, 52 JERMYN STREET, LONDON X0 SW1Y 6LX