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American Public Education (American Public Education) Altman Z-Score

: 1.48 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.47 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

American Public Education has a Altman Z-Score of 1.48, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Public Education's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

APEI' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.05   Med: 6.33   Max: 8.52
Current: 1.47

During the past 13 years, American Public Education's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.52. The lowest was 1.05. And the median was 6.33.


American Public Education Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Public Education's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Public Education Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.27 6.38 1.97 1.05 1.36

American Public Education Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.05 0.64 0.93 1.00 1.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, American Public Education's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Public Education Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, American Public Education's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Public Education's Altman Z-Score falls into.



American Public Education Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

American Public Education's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2573+1.4*-0.0881+3.3*-0.0867+0.6*0.8329+1.0*1.0774
=1.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $557.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $217.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $74.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-49.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 15.141 + 5.608 + -66.365 + -7.149 = $-52.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.791 + -0.792 + -1.097 + -1.779 = $-4.5 Mil.
Revenue was 152.804 + 150.838 + 147.214 + 149.689 = $600.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $221.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $265.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(217.382 - 73.989)/557.386
=0.2573

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-49.096/557.386
=-0.0881

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-52.765 - -4.459)/557.386
=-0.0867

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=221.058/265.41
=0.8329

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=600.545/557.386
=1.0774

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

American Public Education has a Altman Z-Score of 1.48 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


American Public Education  (NAS:APEI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


American Public Education Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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American Public Education (American Public Education) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 West Congress Street, Charles Town, WV, USA, 25414
American Public Education Inc provides online and on-campus postsecondary education including various undergraduate and graduate degree programs. The fields of study include business administration, health science, technology, criminal justice, education, liberal arts, national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security. There are three reporting segments: the American Public Education segment which is the key revenue generator; the Rasmussen University Segment and the Hondros College of Nursing segment. The revenue is generated from net course registrations and enrollment, tuition rate, net tuition, and other fees.
Executives
Barbara Kurshan director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Craig S Macgibbon officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer C/O UIL HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 157 CHURCH STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06506
Thomas Beckett officer: SVP, General Counsel 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Paula R Singer officer: Acting President, Rasmussen C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
325 Master Fund Lp other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Daniel M. Friedberg other: See Footnotes C/O SAGARD CAPITAL, 325 GREENWICH AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
325 Capital Llc other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael David Braner director, other: See Footnotes 200 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Anil K Shrivastava other: See Footnotes 200 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
325 Capital Gp, Llc other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Robinson William G Jr director 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Granetta B. Blevins director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Harry T Wilkins officer: EVP, Strategy, Growth & Innov. 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Anna M. Fabrega director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Eric C. Andersen director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414