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The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Altman Z-Score

: 1.57 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.57 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

The Brink's Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.57, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BCO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.42   Med: 2.15   Max: 2.97
Current: 1.57

During the past 13 years, The Brink's Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.97. The lowest was 1.42. And the median was 2.15.


The Brink's Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Brink's Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.15 1.49 1.51 1.42 1.57

The Brink's Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.42 1.53 1.53 1.62 1.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Brink's Co Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



The Brink's Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

The Brink's Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1279+1.4*0.0504+3.3*0.0666+0.6*0.6481+1.0*0.7384
=1.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $6,602 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,788 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,944 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $333 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 52.5 + 86.8 + 58.6 + 37.9 = $236 Mil.
Interest Expense was -52.3 + -53.8 + -51.1 + -46.6 = $-204 Mil.
Revenue was 1245.6 + 1227.4 + 1216.2 + 1185.4 = $4,875 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,942 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,082 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2788.3 - 1944.1)/6601.8
=0.1279

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=333/6601.8
=0.0504

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(235.8 - -203.8)/6601.8
=0.0666

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3941.592/6081.6
=0.6481

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4874.6/6601.8
=0.7384

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

The Brink's Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.57 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


The Brink's Co  (NYSE:BCO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Brink's Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1801 Bayberry Court, P.O. Box 18100, Richmond, VA, USA, 23226-8100
The Brink's Co is a Global provider of secure logistics and security solutions for cash and other valuables. In 2020, the company acquired the U.K.-based G4S that reorganized its operating segments to be North America, Latin America, Europe, and Rest of World. It generates maximum revenue from the North America segment, namely from its core business of cash-in-transit and ATM services. The Latin America and Europe segments trail North America in revenue earnings with the Brinks Global Services line of business that specializes in the secure transportation of high-valued commodities, such as jewelry, precious metals, banknotes, and electronics. Brink's customer base includes financial institutions, retails, government agencies, mints, and other commercial businesses.
Executives
Arthelbert Louis Parker director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY CT, 4TH FL, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Dominik Bossart officer: SVP 1800 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Elizabeth A Galloway officer: EVP and CHRO AT HOME GROUP INC., 1600 EAST PLANO PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75074
Michael F Beech officer: Executive Vice President THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael J Herling director 177 BROAD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Keith R Wyche director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kurt B Mcmaken officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer THE BRINK'S COMANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Simon Davis officer: SVP, CHRO 5757 N GREEN BAY AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Daniel J Castillo officer: EVP 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Susan E Docherty director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kathie J. Andrade director 6300 LAMAR AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66202
Rohan Pal officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael E Sweeney officer: Controller C/O LIQUIDITY SERVICES, INC., 1920 L STREET, N.W., 6TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20036
Timothy Joseph Tynan director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Lindsay K. Blackwood officer: EVP & General Counsel 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226

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