The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Cabela′s has a Altman Z-Score of 1.85, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Cabela′s is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Cabela′s Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cabela′s Altman Z-Score Distribution
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Cabela′s Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Cabela′s's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.4955
+
1.4
*
0.2138
+
3.3
*
0.0302
+
0.6
*
0.645
+
1.0
*
0.4701
=
1.85
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Cabela′s has a Altman Z-Score of 1.85 indicating it is in Grey Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Cabela′s (NYSE:CAB) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Cabela′s Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Cabela's Inc was founded in 1961. The Company is a specialty retailer, and the direct marketer, of hunting, fishing, camping, and related outdoor merchandise. It also issues Cabela's CLUB Visa credit card, which serves as its customer loyalty rewards program. The Company operates in four segments Retail, Direct, Financial Services, and Corporate Overhead and Other. In retail segment the Company operated 77 retail stores, 68 stores in 36 states and nine stores in six Canadian provinces. During 2015, it opened 13 retail stores, 11 stores in the United States and two in Canada. It has two basic store formats. Its legacy stores refer to traditional retail stores that opened in August 2008 and earlier. It has 28 traditional, or legacy, retail stores, which offers a tourist-type experience. Its retail stores often attract the construction and development of hotels, restaurants, and other retail establishments adjacent to these stores. The Direct segment sells products through its e-commerce websites (Cabelas.com and Cabelas.ca) and direct mail catalogs. It markets its products through websites, mobile devices, and its print catalog distributions. The Financial Services segment provides customers with a rewards program that enhances revenue, operating profitability, and customer loyalty in its Retail and Direct businesses. Through its wholly-owned bank subsidiary, World's Foremost Bank, it issues and manages the Cabela's CLUB Visa credit card, a rewards based credit card program. The Company's product assortments includes merchandise and equipment for hunting, fishing, marine use, camping, and recreational sport shooting, along with casual and outdoor apparel and footwear, optics, vehicle accessories, and gifts and home furnishings with an outdoor theme. The Corporate Overhead and Other segment includes the value of unredeemed points earned that are associated with the Company's loyalty rewards programs for Cabela's CLUB issued credit cards, net of the estimated costs of the points; amounts received from outfitter services; real estate rental income; land sales; and fees earned from a travel business and other complementary business services. The Company competes with the outdoor recreation and casual apparel and footwear markets. It competes directly or indirectly with other broad-line merchants, large-format sporting goods stores and chains, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, discount and department stores, small specialty retailers, and catalog and Internet-based retailers.
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