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Conagra Brands (Conagra Brands) Altman Z-Score

: 1.93 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.92 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Conagra Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 1.93, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Conagra Brands is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CAG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.33   Med: 1.83   Max: 3.34
Current: 1.92

During the past 13 years, Conagra Brands's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.34. The lowest was 1.33. And the median was 1.83.


Conagra Brands Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Conagra Brands Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.49 1.74 1.95 1.80 1.84

Conagra Brands Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.92 1.84 1.83 1.81 1.85

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Conagra Brands Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Conagra Brands Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Conagra Brands's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0084+1.4*0.3199+3.3*0.0673+0.6*1.1897+1.0*0.5528
=1.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was $21,920 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,286 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,471 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $7,012 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 363.5 + 334.8 + 382.7 + -45 = $1,036 Mil.
Interest Expense was -107.9 + -114.1 + -107.1 + -109.3 = $-438 Mil.
Revenue was 3032.9 + 3208.1 + 2904 + 2973.3 = $12,118 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $15,102 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $12,694 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3285.8 - 3470.9)/21919.9
=-0.0084

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=7011.7/21919.9
=0.3199

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1036 - -438.4)/21919.9
=0.0673

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=15102.002/12694.4
=1.1897

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=12118.3/21919.9
=0.5528

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Conagra Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 1.93 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Conagra Brands  (NYSE:CAG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Conagra Brands Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Conagra Brands (Conagra Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
222 W. Merchandise Mart Plaza, Suite 1300, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Conagra Brands is a packaged food company that operates predominantly in the United States (over 90% of revenue and profits). Most of its revenue comes from frozen food, including brands like Marie Callender's, Healthy Choice, Banquet, and Birds Eye. Conagra also sells snacks, shelf-stable staples, and refrigerated food through brands like Duncan Hines, Hunt's, Slim Jim, Vlasic, Orville Redenbacher's, Reddi-wip, Wish-Bone, and Chef Boyardee. The company primarily sells through the U.S. retail channel, with just 8% of fiscal 2023 revenue coming from international markets and 9% from foodservice.
Executives
Richard H Lenny director ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC., 155 HARLEM AVE., GLENVIEW IL 60025
Francisco Fraga director 222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Thomas M Mcgough officer: EVP and Co-COO C/O CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS 1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
William Eric Johnson officer: SVP, Corporate Controller 222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Charisse Brock officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer C/CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
Robert G Wise officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Carey Bartell officer: EVP, GC and Corp. Secretary C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE. 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Denise Paulonis director 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Emanuel Chirico director 7 NEW YORK PLACE, BRONSVILLE NY 10708
Batcheler Colleen officer: SVP and General Counsel ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Darren Serrao officer: EVP and Co-COO C/CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
George Dowdie director C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Fran Horowitz-bonadies director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Alexandre Eboli officer: EVP,Chief Supply Chain Officer C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE. 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jana Partners Llc director, other: See Remarks 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153

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