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Deckers Outdoor (Deckers Outdoor) Altman Z-Score

: 13.47 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 13.63 is strong.

Deckers Outdoor has a Altman Z-Score of 13.47, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

DECK' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.15   Med: 7.86   Max: 13.63
Current: 13.63

During the past 13 years, Deckers Outdoor's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.63. The lowest was 4.15. And the median was 7.86.


Deckers Outdoor Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 10.50 [6] => 6.84 [7] => 11.06 [8] => 9.17 [9] => 12.74 )
Deckers Outdoor Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.50 6.84 11.06 9.17 12.74

Deckers Outdoor Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.49 12.74 11.41 11.24 11.83

Competitive Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Deckers Outdoor Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Deckers Outdoor Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Deckers Outdoor's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.5142+1.4*0.5647+3.3*0.2786+0.6*16.5244+1.0*1.2307
=13.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,347 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,649 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $927 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,890 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 499.053 + 234.317 + 81.364 + 114.858 = $930 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.911 + -1.011 + -1.005 + -0.197 = $-3 Mil.
Revenue was 1560.307 + 1091.907 + 675.791 + 791.571 = $4,120 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $20,544 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,243 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2648.854 - 927.442)/3347.459
=0.5142

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1890.314/3347.459
=0.5647

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(929.592 - -3.124)/3347.459
=0.2786

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=20544.326/1243.269
=16.5244

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4119.576/3347.459
=1.2307

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Deckers Outdoor has a Altman Z-Score of 13.47 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Deckers Outdoor  (NYSE:DECK) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Deckers Outdoor Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Deckers Outdoor (Deckers Outdoor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
250 Coromar Drive, Goleta, CA, USA, 93117
Deckers Outdoor Corp designs and sells casual and performance footwear, apparel, and accessories. Primary brands include UGG, Teva, and Sanuk. The company distributes Most of its products through its wholesale business, but it also has a substantial direct-to-consumer business with its company-owned retail stores and websites. Most sales are in the United States, although the company also has retail stores and distributors throughout Europe, Asia, Canada, and Latin America. Deckers sources its products from independent manufacturers primarily in Asia.
Executives
David Powers officer: President, Direct to Consumer 495-A SOUTH FAIRVIEW AVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Caroti Stefano officer: President of Omni Channel 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Devine Michael F Iii director COACH, 516 W 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 1001
Thomas Garcia officer: SVP, General Counsel 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Steven J. Fasching officer: Chief Financial Officer 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Angela Ogbechie officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Lauri M Shanahan director C/O THE GAP, INC., TWO FOLSOM STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105-1205
Bonita C. Stewart director 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Anne Spangenberg officer: President, Fashion Lifestyle 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
David E. Lafitte officer: COO 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Wendy W Yang officer: President, PLG 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
David A Burwick director 32 AUTUMN LANE, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Maha Saleh Ibrahim director 2765 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andrea O'donnell officer: President, Fashion Lifestyle 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Victor Luis director 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001