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Brinker International (Brinker International) Altman Z-Score

: 2.06 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.06 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Brinker International has a Altman Z-Score of 2.06, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Brinker International is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Brinker International's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EAT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.25   Med: 5.75   Max: 6.45
Current: 2.06

During the past 13 years, Brinker International's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.45. The lowest was 1.25. And the median was 5.75.


Brinker International Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Brinker International's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Brinker International Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.45 1.25 2.06 1.70 1.86

Brinker International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.62 1.79 1.86 1.89 2.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Brinker International's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Brinker International Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Brinker International's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Brinker International's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Brinker International Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Brinker International's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1508+1.4*-0.1205+3.3*0.084+0.6*0.7439+1.0*1.6909
=2.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $2,511 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $211 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $590 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-303 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 45.8 + 7.2 + 44.8 + 50.6 = $148 Mil.
Interest Expense was -16.7 + -17 + -14.5 + -14.2 = $-62 Mil.
Revenue was 1074.1 + 1012.5 + 1075.5 + 1083.2 = $4,245 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,949 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,620 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(211.3 - 590)/2510.7
=-0.1508

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-302.6/2510.7
=-0.1205

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(148.4 - -62.4)/2510.7
=0.084

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1949.089/2620.2
=0.7439

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4245.3/2510.7
=1.6909

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Brinker International has a Altman Z-Score of 2.06 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Brinker International  (NYSE:EAT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Brinker International Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Brinker International (Brinker International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3000 Olympus Boulevard, Dallas, TX, USA, 75019
Brinker International Inc operates casual dining restaurants under the brand's Chili Grill and Bar (Chili's) and Maggiano's Little Italy (Maggiano's). Chili's falls in the Bar and Grill category of casual dining. Its menu features Fresh Mex and Fresh Tex favorites including signature items such as slow-smoked baby back ribs, craft burgers, fajitas, and bottomless chips and salsa paired with tableside guacamole. Maggiano's is an Italian restaurant brand with a full lunch and dinner menu offering chef-prepared, such as appetizers, chicken, seafood, veal and prime steaks, and desserts. The company generates maximum revenue from Chili's segment.
Executives
Joseph G Taylor officer: VP, Corp. Affairs & Inv. Rel. 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
Douglas N. Comings officer: SVP & COO, Chili's Grill & Bar 3000 OLYMPUS DR., DALLAS TX 75019
James M Butler officer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer 3000 OLYMPUS BLVD., DALLAS TX 75019
Wade Allen officer: SVP & Chief Digital Officer 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS X1 75240
Steve Provost officer: Pres., Maggiano's Little Italy 4024 COLGATE, UNIVERSITY PARK TX 75225
Rick Badgley officer: SVP & Chief People Officer 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
George S Felix officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer 3000 OLYMPUS BLVD., DALLAS TX 75019
Kevin Hochman director, officer: Pres. & CEO & Pres. of Chili's 3000 OLYMPUS BLVD., DALLAS TX 75019
Prashant Ranade director 507 PLYMOUTH AVENUE, NE, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49505
Wyman Roberts officer: SVP, Maggiano's President 3853 WATERCREST DRIVE, LONGWOOD FL 32779
Ramona Hood director 3000 OLYMPUS BLVD., DALLAS TX 75019
Daniel S Fuller officer: SVP, General Counsel & Sec. 120 HOLLYWOOD DR., COPPELL TX 75019
Harriet Edelman director
Charles A Lousignont officer: SVP Supply Chain Mgmt 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
Joseph Michael Depinto director C/O OFFICEMAX INCORPORATED, NAPERVILLE IL 60563