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Homeinns Hotel Group (Homeinns Hotel Group) Altman Z-Score

: 2.64 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Homeinns Hotel Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Homeinns Hotel Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Homeinns Hotel Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Homeinns Hotel Group Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.77 2.36 2.24 2.54

Homeinns Hotel Group Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.24 2.04 2.32 2.19 2.54

Competitive Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Homeinns Hotel Group Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Homeinns Hotel Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Homeinns Hotel Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0794+1.4*0.1834+3.3*0.04+0.6*2.7881+1.0*0.6749
=2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2015:
Total Assets was $1,471.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $254.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $371.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $269.9 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 4.872 + 35.093 + 19.563 + -4.144 = $55.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.907 + -0.833 + -0.879 + -0.908 = $-3.5 Mil.
Revenue was 244.639 + 274.359 + 252.835 + 221.543 = $993.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,721.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $617.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(254.85 - 371.733)/1471.884
=-0.0794

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=269.949/1471.884
=0.1834

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(55.384 - -3.527)/1471.884
=0.04

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1721.579/617.478
=2.7881

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=993.376/1471.884
=0.6749

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Homeinns Hotel Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Homeinns Hotel Group  (NAS:HMIN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Homeinns Hotel Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Homeinns Hotel Group (Homeinns Hotel Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Homeinns Hotel Group was incorporated in the Cayman Islands on May 2006. The Company develops and operates economy hotels across China under its "Home Inn", "Yitel" and its recently acquired "Motel 168" brands. As of December 31, 2013, the Company had 2,180 hotels in operation, including 872 leased-and-operated hotels and 1,308 franchised-and-managed hotels, with approximately 256,555 rooms located in 287 cities across China, and an additional 161 hotels under development. It competes with other economy hotel chains, such as Jinjiang Star, 7 Days Inn, Han Ting, Green Tree Inn and Super 8, as well as various regional and local economy hotel chains.

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