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HRG Group Inc (NYSE:HRG)
Altman Z-Score
0.29 (As of Today)

HRG Group Inc has a Z-score of 0.29, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Z-Score is less than 1.81, it is in Distress” Zones.
When Z-Score is greater than 2.99, it is in Safe Zones.
When Z-Score is between 1.81 and 2.99, it is in Grey” Zones.

HRG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Max: 29.03
Current: 0.29

0.18
29.03

During the past 13 years, HRG Group Inc's highest Altman Z-Score was 29.03. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 1.69.


Definition

Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

HRG Group Inc's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0825+1.4*-0.0247+3.3*0.004+0.6*0.0838+1.0*0.16
=0.29

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2015:
Total Assets was $35,033 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,745 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $854 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-867 Mil.
Pretax Income was 44.5 + -70 + -39.7 + -241.5 = $-307 Mil.
Interest Expense was -97.5 + -109.6 + -154 + -85.5 = $-447 Mil.
Revenue was 1226.2 + 1452.5 + 1553.5 + 1371.5 = $5,604 Mil.
Market Capitalization (Today) was $2,905 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $34,642 Mil.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3745 - 854.1)/35032.8
=0.0825

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-867/35032.8
=-0.0247

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pretax Income + Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-306.7 + -446.6)/35032.8
=0.004

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Capitalization/Total Liabilities
=2904.670/34641.8
=0.0838

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5603.7/35032.8
=0.16

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress” Zones - 1.81 < “Grey” Zones < 2.99 - “Safe” Zones

HRG Group Inc has a Z-score of 0.29 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm’s assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm’s assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm’s assets.

Read more about Altman Z-score and the original research.


Be Aware

Z score does not apply to financial companies.


Related Terms

Total Assets, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities, Retained Earnings, Pretax Income, Interest Expense, Revenue, Market Capitalization, Total Liabilities, Financial Strength


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

HRG Group Inc Annual Data

Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Sep11Sep12Sep13Sep14Sep15
X1 0.91910.93250.93830.92850.21010.04160.07040.08210.13550.1242
X2 0.21160.22490.22670.1560.0032-0.0054-0.0039-0.0069-0.0092-0.0258
X3 -0.00060.0294-0.0007-0.0313-0.03740.0130.0110.02260.0178-0.0003
X4 30.082942.191222.280319.01990.3320.03110.04920.05430.09260.0744
X5 000000.14740.17780.19860.19810.1799
Z-score 19.4526.8514.8112.640.330.250.320.390.460.34
Zones Safe ZonesSafe ZonesSafe ZonesSafe ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” Zones

HRG Group Inc Quarterly Data

Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15
X1 0.08210.06580.15180.07120.13550.06250.14250.13870.12420.0825
X2 -0.0069-0.0081-0.0109-0.009-0.0092-0.0124-0.0195-0.0209-0.0258-0.0247
X3 0.02260.01650.01340.01430.01780.0120.00670.0015-0.00130.004
X4 0.05430.06110.06210.06650.09260.09510.08280.08140.07440.0786
X5 0.19860.20270.19650.19910.19810.17930.17880.16920.17070.16
Z-score 0.390.360.440.360.460.330.390.360.320.28
Zones Distress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” ZonesDistress” Zones
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