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Marsh & McLennan (Marsh & McLennan) Altman Z-Score

: 3.21 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.21 is strong.

Marsh & McLennan has a Altman Z-Score of 3.21, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MMC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.96   Med: 3.7   Max: 4.09
Current: 3.21

During the past 13 years, Marsh & McLennan's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.09. The lowest was 2.96. And the median was 3.70.


Marsh & McLennan Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marsh & McLennan Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.97 3.10 4.09 2.96 3.14

Marsh & McLennan Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.96 4.11 3.12 3.05 3.14

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marsh & McLennan Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Marsh & McLennan Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Marsh & McLennan's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0407+1.4*0.4738+3.3*0.1167+0.6*2.735+1.0*0.4734
=3.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $48,030 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $21,748 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $19,795 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $22,759 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1048 + 930 + 1384 + 1664 = $5,026 Mil.
Interest Expense was -151 + -145 + -146 + -136 = $-578 Mil.
Revenue was 5554 + 5382 + 5876 + 5924 = $22,736 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $97,532 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $35,660 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(21748 - 19795)/48030
=0.0407

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=22759/48030
=0.4738

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5026 - -578)/48030
=0.1167

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=97531.878/35660
=2.735

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=22736/48030
=0.4734

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Marsh & McLennan has a Altman Z-Score of 3.21 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Marsh & McLennan  (NYSE:MMC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Marsh & McLennan Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Marsh & McLennan (Marsh & McLennan) Business Description

Address
1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10036-2774
Marsh McLennan is a professional services firm that provides advice and solutions in the areas of risk, strategy, and human capital. The company operates through two main segments: risk and insurance services and consulting. In risk and insurance services, the firm offers services via Marsh (an insurance broker) and Guy Carpenter (a risk and reinsurance specialist). The consulting division comprises Mercer (a provider of human resource services) and Oliver Wyman (a management and economic consultancy). About half of its revenue is generated outside the U.S.
Executives
Oscar Fanjul director C/O OMEGA CAPITAL, S.L., PASEO DE LA CASTELLANA, 28, MADRID U3 28046
John Jude Jones officer: Chief Marketing Officer 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Dean Michael Klisura officer: President & CEO, Guy Carpenter 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Steven A Mills director IBM CORPORATION, 294 ROUTE 100, SOMERS NY 10589
Mark C Mcgivney officer: Chief Financial Officer
Judith Hartmann director 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ray G Young director 77 WEST WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Stacy Mills officer: Vice President and Controller C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 11102
Paul Beswick officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Martin South officer: President & CEO, Marsh 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Martine Ferland officer: President and CEO, Mercer C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Katherine Brennan officer: SVP and General Counsel 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Daniel S Glaser officer: Chairman & CEO, Marsh C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Hafize Gaye Erkan director 727 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Marc D Oken director C/O FALFURRIAS CAPITAL PARTNERS, 100 N. TRYON STREET, SUITE 5120, CHARLOTTE NC 28202

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