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Morningstar (Morningstar) Altman Z-Score

: 5.16 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 5.08 is strong.

Morningstar has a Altman Z-Score of 5.16, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morningstar's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MORN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.72   Med: 6.09   Max: 7.92
Current: 5.08

During the past 13 years, Morningstar's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.92. The lowest was 3.72. And the median was 6.09.


Morningstar Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morningstar's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morningstar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.58 5.83 7.80 3.72 5.01

Morningstar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.72 3.55 3.54 4.26 5.01

Competitive Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Morningstar's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morningstar Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morningstar's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morningstar's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Morningstar Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Morningstar's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0191+1.4*0.4733+3.3*0.0712+0.6*6.1362+1.0*0.599
=5.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,403 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $816 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $881 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,611 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 90.3 + 57.4 + 31.7 + 2.1 = $182 Mil.
Interest Expense was -14.6 + -15.8 + -15.8 + -14.5 = $-61 Mil.
Revenue was 538.7 + 515.5 + 504.7 + 479.7 = $2,039 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $12,736 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,076 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(815.7 - 880.8)/3403.4
=-0.0191

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1610.8/3403.4
=0.4733

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(181.5 - -60.7)/3403.4
=0.0712

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12736.352/2075.6
=6.1362

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2038.6/3403.4
=0.599

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Morningstar has a Altman Z-Score of 5.16 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Morningstar  (NAS:MORN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Morningstar Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morningstar's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morningstar (Morningstar) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22 West Washington Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60602
Morningstar Inc is a provider of independent investment research to financial advisers, asset managers, and investors. The company focuses its operations on two core sectors: data and research. It offers data on investments such as mutual funds, stocks, exchange-traded funds, closed-end funds, separate accounts, and variable annuities. Further, the company tracks real-time market data of equity, derivative, and currency exchanges and other investments. In its research operation, Morningstar offers analyst research on passive and active mutual funds, alternative funds, and college saving plans. Morningstar's largest share of revenue is generated in the United States of America.
Executives
Joseph D Mansueto director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Robin Diamonte director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON ST., CHICAGO IL 60602
Gail S Landis director MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Daniel Joseph Dunn officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Caroline J Tsay director C/O ROSETTA STONE INC., 1919 NORTH LYNN STREET, 7TH FLOOR, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Bevin Desmond officer: Head of Talent and Culture C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
William M Lyons director 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Cheryl A Francis director 8237 GREYSTONE COURT, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Doniel Sutton director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Steven N Kaplan director 1101 EAST 58TH STREET, CHICAGO IL 60637
Stephen Joynt director C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 W. WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Kimberly J Mcgarry officer: Global Controller & CAO 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, 6TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60602
Jason Dubinsky officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 W. WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Kunal Kapoor director, officer: CEO MORNINGSTAR, INC., 22 WEST WASHINGTON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Jack Noonan director 17000 GULF BLVD, UNIT B, N. REDINGTON BEACH FL 33708