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Kaiser Aluminum (Kaiser Aluminum) Altman Z-Score

: 2.38 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.38 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Kaiser Aluminum has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Kaiser Aluminum is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KALU' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.06   Med: 2.52   Max: 3.57
Current: 2.38

During the past 13 years, Kaiser Aluminum's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.57. The lowest was 2.06. And the median was 2.52.


Kaiser Aluminum Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kaiser Aluminum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.19 2.33 2.06 2.28 2.27

Kaiser Aluminum Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.28 2.20 2.25 2.25 2.27

Competitive Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kaiser Aluminum Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Kaiser Aluminum Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Kaiser Aluminum's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2735+1.4*0.0045+3.3*0.0442+0.6*0.8917+1.0*1.3615
=2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $2,267 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $990 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $370 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $10 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 8.7 + 5.5 + 21.3 + 20.8 = $56 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.5 + -11.4 + -12.1 + -11.9 = $-44 Mil.
Revenue was 721.7 + 743.6 + 814.1 + 807.6 = $3,087 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,440 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,615 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(990.2 - 370)/2267.4
=0.2735

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=10.1/2267.4
=0.0045

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(56.3 - -43.9)/2267.4
=0.0442

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1440.300/1615.2
=0.8917

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3087/2267.4
=1.3615

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Kaiser Aluminum has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Kaiser Aluminum  (NAS:KALU) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Kaiser Aluminum Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Kaiser Aluminum (Kaiser Aluminum) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1550 West McEwen Drive, Suite 500, Franklin, TN, USA, 37067
Kaiser Aluminum Corp produces and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products primarily to industrial customers. The company purchases primary and scrap aluminum, primarily from its five largest suppliers, and processes it into specialized value-added products. It hedges its aluminum costs in an attempt to match commodity price changes between the time it purchases the raw materials and sells the finished products. Kaiser produces high-strength aluminum products for the aerospace industry, specialized aluminum extrusions for the automotive industry, and also sells products to customers in the general engineering industry. Nearly all of Kaiser's revenue is generated in the US, with the remainder coming from Canada. The company's operations are also located in the U.S. and Canada.
Executives
Ray Parkinson officer: VP - Advanced Engineering 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Teresa Mosley Sebastian director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Vijai Narayan officer: VP and CAO 1550 WEST MCEWEN DRIVE, SUITE 500, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Kevin W Williams director 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Michael C Arnold director C/O RYERSON HOLDING CORPORATION, 227 W. MONROE ST., 27TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60606
Donald J Stebbins director C/O WABCO HOLDINGS INC., ONE CENTENNIAL AVENUE, PISCATAWAY NJ 08855
Richard P. Grimley director 1550 WEST MCEWEN DRIVE, SUITE 500, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Brant Weaver officer: VP - Strategic Development 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Del L Miller officer: VP - Metal Strategy 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, STE. 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Jennifer Huey officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Blain Tiffany officer: EVP - Sales & Marketing 3400 N. WOLF ROAD, FRANKLIN PARK IL 60131
Neal E West officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 7565 IRVINE CENTER DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Jack A Hockema director, officer: President and CEO C/O KAISER ALUMINUM CORP, 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 350, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Leo Wilfred Gerard director 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Keith Harvey officer: SVP - Sales & Marketing 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831