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Kingold Jewelry (Kingold Jewelry) Altman Z-Score

: N/A (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Kingold Jewelry has a Altman Z-Score of N/A, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Kingold Jewelry Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kingold Jewelry Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.34 3.48 1.36 1.33 1.77

Kingold Jewelry Quarterly Data
Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.84 1.77 1.67 1.63 1.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kingold Jewelry Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Kingold Jewelry Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Kingold Jewelry's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4545+1.4*0.1049+3.3*0.055+0.6*0+1.0*0.6222
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2019:
Total Assets was $3,320 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,046 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,537 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $348 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -31.85 + 16.949 + 8.609 + 27.499 = $21 Mil.
Interest Expense was -38.172 + -46.041 + -41.977 + -35.029 = $-161 Mil.
Revenue was 382.79 + 598.008 + 453.539 + 631.175 = $2,066 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,367 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3045.55 - 1536.707)/3319.662
=0.4545

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=348.179/3319.662
=0.1049

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(21.207 - -161.219)/3319.662
=0.055

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=0.000/2366.698
=0

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2065.512/3319.662
=0.6222

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Kingold Jewelry has a Altman Z-Score of N/A indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Kingold Jewelry  (GREY:KGJI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Kingold Jewelry Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Kingold Jewelry (Kingold Jewelry) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 8 Han Huang Road, Jiang'an District, Hubei Province, 15 Huangpu Science & Technology Park, Wuhan, CHN, 430023
Kingold Jewelry Inc designs and manufactures 24-karat gold jewelry and Chinese ornaments. The company along with its subsidiaries develops markets and sells products including gold necklaces, rings, earrings, bracelets, and pendants to the jewelry market in China. The company also sells gold bars and coins and other products through various banks in China. It derives most of its revenues from the sales of 24-karat jewelry and Chinese ornaments and from design and processing fees.
Executives
H. David Sherman director 38 HOMEWOOD ROAD, NEWTON MA 02468
Bin Liu officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 40 WALL STREET, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005

Kingold Jewelry (Kingold Jewelry) Headlines

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