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Kirkland's (Kirkland's) Altman Z-Score : 0.54 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Kirkland's Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.54 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Kirkland's has a Altman Z-Score of 0.54, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KIRK' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 2.59   Max: 4.97
Current: 0.54

During the past 13 years, Kirkland's's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.97. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 2.59.


Kirkland's Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kirkland's Altman Z-Score Chart

Kirkland's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.70 2.04 2.11 0.61 0.58

Kirkland's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.61 0.55 0.40 0.32 0.58

Competitive Comparison of Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Kirkland's Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Kirkland's's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0945+1.4*-0.6921+3.3*-0.0954+0.6*0.1034+1.0*1.8705
=0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $250.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $85.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $109.2 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-173.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 9.916 + -7.687 + -18.714 + -10.747 = $-27.2 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.902 + -1.163 + -0.75 + -0.502 = $-3.3 Mil.
Revenue was 165.946 + 116.365 + 89.504 + 96.875 = $468.7 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $25.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $247.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(85.509 - 109.191)/250.573
=-0.0945

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-173.428/250.573
=-0.6921

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-27.232 - -3.317)/250.573
=-0.0954

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=25.594/247.449
=0.1034

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=468.69/250.573
=1.8705

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Kirkland's has a Altman Z-Score of 0.54 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Kirkland's  (NAS:KIRK) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Kirkland's Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Kirkland's (Kirkland's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5310 Maryland Way, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Kirkland's Inc is a specialty retailer of home decor and gifts in the United States. Its stores provide various merchandise, including holiday decor, framed arts, furniture, ornamental wall decor, fragrance and accessories, mirrors, lamps, decorative accessories, textiles, housewares, gifts, artificial floral products, frames, clocks, and outdoor living items. Its stores also offer an assortment of holiday merchandise in seasonal periods, as well as items that are suitable for gift-giving.
Executives
W Michael Madden director, officer: President and CEO C/O KIRKLAND'S INC, 431 SMITH LANE, JACKSON TN 38301
Amy Ervin Sullivan officer: SVP, CMO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Ann E Joyce director C/O AEROPOSTALE INC, 1372 BRAODWAY 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Osmium Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Diamond, Lp 10 percent owner C/O OSMIUM PARTNERS, LLC, 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Capital Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Spartan L P 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis 10 percent owner 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Jill A. Soltau director 123 SOUTH FRONT STREET, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Nicole Allyson Strain officer: Interim CFO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Charles Iii Pleas director 123 S. FRONT STREET, DEPT. 8074, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Michael A. Holland officer: Sr. VP and CTO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Miles Kirkland director C/O KIRKLAND'S, INC., 2501 MCGAVOCK PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Orr Wilson R Iii director C/O KIRKLAND'S, INC., 2501 MCGAVOCK PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214