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Lancaster Colony (Lancaster Colony) Altman Z-Score

: 16.99 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 17.07 is strong.

Lancaster Colony has a Altman Z-Score of 16.99, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LANC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.64   Med: 17.46   Max: 23.09
Current: 17.07

During the past 13 years, Lancaster Colony's highest Altman Z-Score was 23.09. The lowest was 12.64. And the median was 17.46.


Lancaster Colony Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lancaster Colony Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.32 16.44 16.43 12.64 17.42

Lancaster Colony Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.66 15.85 17.42 15.04 15.67

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lancaster Colony Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Lancaster Colony Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Lancaster Colony's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2107+1.4*1.3501+3.3*0.1456+0.6*21.2288+1.0*1.6251
=16.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,149 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $405 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $163 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,551 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 67.179 + 57.632 + 12.449 + 30.015 = $167 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 485.916 + 461.572 + 454.661 + 464.935 = $1,867 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $5,108 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $241 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(405.399 - 163.376)/1148.925
=0.2107

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1551.143/1148.925
=1.3501

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(167.275 - 0)/1148.925
=0.1456

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=5107.622/240.599
=21.2288

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1867.084/1148.925
=1.6251

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Lancaster Colony has a Altman Z-Score of 16.99 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Lancaster Colony  (NAS:LANC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Lancaster Colony Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Lancaster Colony (Lancaster Colony) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
380 Polaris Parkway, Suite 400, Westerville, OH, USA, 43082
Lancaster Colony Corp is a manufacturer and marketer of speciality food products. The company's segments include Retail and Foodservice. By product segment, the company divides its portfolio into non frozen (roughly 70% of net sales) and frozen food. The key products and brands are salad dressing and sauces (Cardini's, Girard's, Marzetti), frozen garlic breads (New York Brand Bakery, Mamma Bella), vegetable dips and fruit dips (Marzetti), frozen parkerhouse-style yeast rolls and dinner rolls (Sister Schubert's, Mary B's), premium dry egg noodles (Amish Kitchen), frozen speciality noodles (Reames, Aunt Vi's), croutons and salad toppings, flatbread wraps, and pizza crusts.
Executives
Knight George F. Iii director 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Zena Srivatsa Arnold director 2500 BEE CAVE ROAD, BLDG. 1, SUITE 200, ROLLINGWOOD TX 78746
Luis Viso officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Kristin Bird officer: President-Foodservice Division 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Carl R. Stealey officer: President-T Marzetti Retail 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
David Alan Ciesinski officer: President & COO H. J. HEINZ COMPANY, P.O. BOX 57, PITTSBURGH PA 15230
David S. Nagle officer: SVP-T Marzetti Co Supply Chain 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
K. Pigott Thomas officer: CFO and Asst. Secretary C/O MGP INGREDIENTS, INC., 100 COMMERCIAL STREET, ATCHISON KS 66002
Alan F Harris director
Elliot K. Fullen director 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Gerlach John B Jr director, officer: Chairman & CEO LANCASTER COLONY CORP, 37 W. BROAD ST., COLUMBUS OH 43215
Barbara L Brasier director C/O MEADWESTVACO CORP, ONE HIGH RIDGE PARK, STAMFORD CT 06905
Michael H Keown director P O BOX 77057, FORT WORTH TX 76177
Timothy A. Tate officer: SVP-TMarzettiFoodservice Sales 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Neeli Bendapudi director FISHER COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, 556 FISHER H, 2100 NEIL AVENUE, COLUMBUS OH 43210