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Amrep (AXR) Altman Z-Score

: 15.02 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 15.16 is strong.

Amrep has a Altman Z-Score of 15.02, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amrep's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AXR' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.68   Med: 3.61   Max: 15.16
Current: 15.16

During the past 13 years, Amrep's highest Altman Z-Score was 15.16. The lowest was 1.68. And the median was 3.61.


Amrep Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amrep's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amrep Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.09 3.37 7.92 6.56 11.38

Amrep Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.43 11.38 14.91 14.76 14.64

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Amrep's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amrep Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Amrep's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amrep's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Amrep Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Amrep's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.7359+1.4*0.6653+3.3*0.0224+0.6*21.2595+1.0*0.3742
=15.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $118.99 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $92.74 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5.17 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $79.16 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.114 + 1.214 + 2.071 + -0.732 = $2.67 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 12.689 + 8.854 + 10.289 + 12.701 = $44.53 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $110.70 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $5.21 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(92.741 - 5.17)/118.994
=0.7359

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=79.164/118.994
=0.6653

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2.667 - 0)/118.994
=0.0224

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=110.698/5.207
=21.2595

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=44.533/118.994
=0.3742

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Amrep has a Altman Z-Score of 15.02 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Amrep  (NYSE:AXR) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Amrep Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amrep's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amrep (AXR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
850 West Chester Pike, Suite 205, Havertown, PA, USA, 19083
Amrep Corp through its subsidiaries is engaged in the Real estate business. Its activities include land sales and lease activities, which involve the obtaining of approvals and the sale of both developed and undeveloped lots to homebuilders, commercial users, and others, as well as investments in commercial and investment properties. Its operating segments include Land development and Homebuilding. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from the Land development segment. Geographically, all the activities are carried out throughout the United States.
Executives
James H Dahl 10 percent owner 1200 RIVERPLACE BLVD SUITE 902, 1200 RIVERPLACE BLVD SUITE 902, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Robert Robotti director 125 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 1607, NEW YORK NY 10017
Cloues Edward B Ii director PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION, FOUR RADNOR CORP. CTR., SUITE 200, RADNOR PA 19087
Rainey E. Lancaster 10 percent owner 1 APPLE PARK WAY, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Nick G Karabots director, 10 percent owner
Gate City Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 425 S. FINANCIAL PLACE, STE 910A, CHICAGO IL 60605
Theodore J. Gaasche director 1521 GREEN VALLEY DRIVE, COLLEGEVILLE PA 19426
Adrienne Uleau officer: VP, Finance & Accounting 1142 MYRTLEWOOD AVE, HAVERTOWN PA 19083
Heinrich Bauer (usa) Llc 10 percent owner 270 SYLVAN AVE, ENGELWOOD CLIFFS NJ 07632
Mcmonagle James Michael Jr officer: VP and Chief Financial Officer 620 W. GERMANTOWN PIKE, SUITE 175, PLYMOUTH MEETING PA 19462
Robert E Wisniewski officer: EVP and CFO C/O K-TRON INTERNATIONAL, INC., ROUTES 55 & 553, PO BOX 888, PITMAN NJ 08071
Clifford Robert Martin officer: VP and Chief Financial Officer AMREP CORPORATION, 300 ALEXANDER PARK, SUITE 204, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Rory Burke officer: Pres&CEO, Palm Coast Data, LLC C/O AMREP CORPORATION, 300 ALEXANDER PARK, SUITE 204, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Christopher V Vitale officer: Vice Pres., Gen. Counsel & Sec AMREP CORPORATION, 300 ALEXANDER PARK, SUITE 204, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Peter M. Pizza officer: Vice President and CFO C/O AMREP CORPORATION, 300 ALEXANDER PARK, SUITE 204, PRINCETON NJ 08540

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