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Hovnanian Enterprises (Hovnanian Enterprises) Altman Z-Score

: 2.50 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.49 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Hovnanian Enterprises has a Altman Z-Score of 2.50, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Hovnanian Enterprises is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HOV' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.13   Med: 1.6   Max: 2.56
Current: 2.49

During the past 13 years, Hovnanian Enterprises's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.56. The lowest was 1.13. And the median was 1.60.


Hovnanian Enterprises Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hovnanian Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.13 1.57 1.95 2.12 2.20

Hovnanian Enterprises Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.22 2.20 2.24 2.20 2.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hovnanian Enterprises Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Hovnanian Enterprises Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hovnanian Enterprises's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.5226+1.4*-0.0581+3.3*0.1367+0.6*0.4782+1.0*1.2113
=2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,340 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,679 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $456 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-136 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 32.563 + 121.391 + 70.39 + 46.123 = $270 Mil.
Interest Expense was -10.451 + -10.986 + -13.502 + -14.501 = $-49 Mil.
Revenue was 594.196 + 887.032 + 649.957 + 703.661 = $2,835 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $829 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,733 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1679.253 - 456.06)/2340.378
=0.5226

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-135.962/2340.378
=-0.0581

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(270.467 - -49.44)/2340.378
=0.1367

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=828.782/1733.29
=0.4782

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2834.846/2340.378
=1.2113

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hovnanian Enterprises has a Altman Z-Score of 2.50 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Hovnanian Enterprises  (NYSE:HOV) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hovnanian Enterprises Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Hovnanian Enterprises (Hovnanian Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
90 Matawan Road, Fifth Floor, Matawan, NJ, USA, 07747
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc conducts all of its homebuilding and financial services operations . The company designs, constructs, markets, and sells single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes in planned residential developments. It has two distinct operations: homebuilding and financial services. Its homebuilding operations are divided geographically into three segments; Northeast which includes Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia; Southeast which includes Florida, Georgia and South Carolina; and West which includes Arizona, California and Texas. The firm generates maximum revenue from West Segment.
Executives
Vincent Jr Pagano director 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Ara K Hovnanian director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of Bd., Pres. & CEO 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Edward A Kangas director 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
J Larry Sorsby director, officer: Exec. VP and CFO 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Miriam Hernandez-kakol director 90 MATAWAN ROAD, 5TH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Park West Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 1 LETTERMAN DRIVE, SUITE C5-900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Hovnanian Family 2012 L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O ARA K. HOVNANIAN, 110 WEST FRONT STREET, P.O. BOX 500, RED BANK NJ 07701
Robin Stone Sellers director 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Lucian T. Smith officer: Chief Operating Officer 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Executors Of The Estate Of Kevork S. Hovnanian, Deceased 10 percent owner 425 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas J. Pellerito officer: Chief Operating Officer 110 WEST FRONT STREET, RED BANK NJ 07701
Joseph A Marengi director C/O DELL INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682-2244
Brad G O'connor officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 90 MATAWAN ROAD, FIFTH FLOOR, MATAWAN NJ 07747
Paul W Buchanan officer: SVP Corporate Controller 10 HIGHWAY 35, P O BOX 500, RED BANK NJ 07701
Peter S Reinhart officer: Sr. VP/General Counsel 10 HIGHWAY 35, P O BOX 500, RED BANK NJ 07701