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Mueller Water Products, (Mueller Water Products,) Altman Z-Score

: 2.89 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.88 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Mueller Water Products, has a Altman Z-Score of 2.89, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Mueller Water Products, is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MWA' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.7   Med: 1.93   Max: 3.01
Current: 2.88

During the past 13 years, Mueller Water Products,'s highest Altman Z-Score was 3.01. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.93.


Mueller Water Products, Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 1.93 [6] => 1.93 [7] => 2.49 [8] => 2.07 [9] => 2.56 )
Mueller Water Products, Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.93 1.93 2.49 2.07 2.56

Mueller Water Products, Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.25 2.72 3.01 2.56 2.71

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mueller Water Products, Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score falls into.



Mueller Water Products, Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Mueller Water Products,'s Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3322+1.4*-0.3058+3.3*0.075+0.6*3.1271+1.0*0.7962
=2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,529 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $729 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $222 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-468 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 16.9 + 20.7 + 30.9 + 28 = $97 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.8 + -4.6 + -4.6 + -4.1 = $-18 Mil.
Revenue was 256.4 + 301.4 + 326.6 + 332.9 = $1,217 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,494 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $798 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(729.4 - 221.6)/1528.8
=0.3322

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-467.5/1528.8
=-0.3058

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(96.5 - -18.1)/1528.8
=0.075

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2494.151/797.6
=3.1271

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1217.3/1528.8
=0.7962

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Mueller Water Products, has a Altman Z-Score of 2.89 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Mueller Water Products,  (NYSE:MWA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Mueller Water Products, Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Mueller Water Products, (Mueller Water Products,) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1200 Abernathy Road N.E., Suite 1200, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
Mueller Water Products, Inc. is a U.S.-based company that manufactures and sells products and services used in the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water. The company operates in two segments Water Flow Solutions and Water Management Solutions. Water Flow Solutions' portfolio includes iron gate valves, specialty valves and service brass products. Water Management Solutions' portfolio includes fire hydrants, repair and installation, natural gas, metering, leak detection, and pressure management and control products and solutions. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the United states.
Executives
Lydia W Thomas director ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORP, 440 LINCOLN ST, WORCESTER MA 01653
Mark J Obrien director 3000 BAYPORT DRIVE, SUITE 1100, TAMPA FL 33607
Thomas J Hansen director 3600 W. LAKE AVENUE, GLENVIEW IL 60026-1215
Michael T Tokarz director 287 BOWMAN AVENUE, SUITE 331, PURCHASE NY 10577
Kenji Takeuchi officer: SVP, Engineering 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Chason A Carroll officer: VP, General Counsel & Corp Sec 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Niclas Ytterdahl director C/O MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS, INC., 1200 ABERNATHY ROAD, NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Paul Mcandrew officer: SVP, Operations & Supply Chain 1200 ABERNATHY ROAD, NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Brian Slobodow director 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Shirley C. Franklin director C/O MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS, INC., 1200 ABERNATHY RD., SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Steven S Heinrichs officer: EVP, General Counsel and Sec 1200 ABERNATHY ROAD, NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Todd P Helms officer: SVP and CHRO 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Marietta Edmunds Zakas officer: SVP-Strategy and IR 1200 ABERNATHY RD, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Suzanne G Smith officer: VP and CAO 1275 PEACHTREE STREET, 6TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30309
Jeffery S. Sharritts director 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, STE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328