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Learning Tree International (Learning Tree International) Altman Z-Score

: 0.73 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Learning Tree International has a Altman Z-Score of 0.73, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Learning Tree International Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Learning Tree International Annual Data
Trend Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.48 1.57 0.59 1.71 0.95

Learning Tree International Quarterly Data
Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.71 1.69 1.39 1.26 0.95

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Learning Tree International Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Learning Tree International Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Learning Tree International's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.5691+1.4*-0.8606+3.3*-0.0808+0.6*0.0723+1.0*2.8399
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2018:
Total Assets was $22.65 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $16.23 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $29.12 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-19.49 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.368 + -0.203 + -2.383 + 0.292 = $-1.93 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.04 + -0.02 + -0.027 + -0.009 = $-0.10 Mil.
Revenue was 17.324 + 16.203 + 13.595 + 17.196 = $64.32 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2.64 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $36.56 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(16.232 - 29.121)/22.648
=-0.5691

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-19.492/22.648
=-0.8606

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-1.926 - -0.096)/22.648
=-0.0808

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2.644/36.564
=0.0723

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=64.318/22.648
=2.8399

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Learning Tree International has a Altman Z-Score of 0.73 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Learning Tree International  (OTCPK:LTRE) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Learning Tree International Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Learning Tree International (Learning Tree International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13650 Dulles Technology Drive, Suite 400, Herndon, VA, USA, 20171
Learning Tree International Inc provides education and training in information technology. Its proprietary library of course titles focuses on client-server systems, computer networks, operating systems, databases, programming, graphical user interfaces, object-oriented technology, and IT management. Its courses are offered in hotels, conference facilities, and customer sites.
Executives
Alimco Financial Corp other: See Remarks 2336 S.E. OCEAN BOULEVARD SUITE 400, STUART FL 34996
Gracia C Martore director C/O OMNICOM GROUP INC., 437 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Neil S Subin 10 percent owner 2336 S.E. OCEAN BOULEVARD, #400, STUART FL 34996
Osmium Capital Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Spartan L P 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis 10 percent owner 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Sarah Fisher Gardial director PO BOX 73909, CEDAR RAPIDS IA 52407-3909
Miller Lloyd I Iii 10 percent owner
Curtis A Hessler director 1805 LIBRARY STREET, SUITE 300, RESTON VA 20190
Bain Howard A Iii director 10200 S DEANZA BLVD, CUPERTINO CA 95014
George T Robson director 1805 LIBRARY STREET, RESTON VA 20190
Godbold Wilford D Jr director 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008

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