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Polaris (Polaris) Altman Z-Score

: 3.03 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.04 is strong.

Polaris has a Altman Z-Score of 3.03, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Polaris's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PII' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.83   Med: 3.13   Max: 8.66
Current: 3.04

During the past 13 years, Polaris's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.66. The lowest was 2.83. And the median was 3.13.


Polaris Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Polaris's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Polaris Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.14 2.83 3.12 3.12 3.08

Polaris Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.12 3.30 3.33 3.05 3.08

Competitive Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Polaris's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Polaris Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Polaris's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Polaris's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Polaris Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Polaris's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1374+1.4*0.0441+3.3*0.1351+0.6*1.2357+1.0*1.6196
=3.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $5,516 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,692 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,934 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $244 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 120.8 + 181.7 + 172.7 + 145.2 = $620 Mil.
Interest Expense was -32.8 + -32.5 + -31.4 + -28.3 = $-125 Mil.
Revenue was 2289.2 + 2248.9 + 2216.6 + 2179.7 = $8,934 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $5,061 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,096 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2691.7 - 1933.8)/5516.3
=0.1374

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=243.5/5516.3
=0.0441

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(620.4 - -125)/5516.3
=0.1351

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=5060.623/4095.5
=1.2357

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=8934.4/5516.3
=1.6196

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Polaris has a Altman Z-Score of 3.03 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Polaris  (NYSE:PII) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Polaris Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Polaris's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Polaris (Polaris) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2100 Highway 55, Medina, MN, USA, 55340
Polaris designs and manufactures off-road vehicles, including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles for recreational and utility purposes, snowmobiles, and on-road vehicles, including motorcycles, along with the related replacement parts, garments, and accessories. The firm entered the marine market after acquiring Boat Holdings in 2018, offering exposure to new segments of the outdoor lifestyle market. Polaris products retailed through more than 2,500 dealers in North America and through 1,500 international dealers as well as more than 25 subsidiaries and 90 distributors in more than 100 countries outside North America at the end of 2022.
Executives
Robert Paul Mack officer: CFO, EVP-Corp Dev Pres-GAM 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Kevin M Farr director MATTEL, INC., 333 CONTINENTAL BLVD, M1-1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Stephen L. Eastman officer: President - PG&A 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Michael T Speetzen officer: CEO XYLEM INC., 1133 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, SUITE N200, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Michael D. Dougherty officer: President-Motorcycles & Int'l 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Dougherty Lucy Clark officer: SVP-Gen Counsel & Secretary 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
James P Williams officer: SVP-CHRO 600 TRAVIS, SUITE 5800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Benjamin D Duke officer: President-Marine 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Kenneth Pucel officer: EVP, Global Ops & CTO 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Steven Menneto officer: President-ORV 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Jacob Vogel officer: President-Boats 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Darryl R. Jackson director 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Scott W. Wine officer: Chief Executive Officer 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Christopher Musso officer: President-ORV 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Annette K Clayton director 11384 BAYBERRY DRIVE, ROMEO MI 48065