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Primo Water (Primo Water) Altman Z-Score

: 1.72 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.73 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Primo Water has a Altman Z-Score of 1.72, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Primo Water's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PRMW' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.14   Max: 1.73
Current: 1.73

During the past 13 years, Primo Water's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.73. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.14.


Primo Water Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Primo Water's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Primo Water Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.21 1.16 1.13 1.14 1.56

Primo Water Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.14 1.14 1.12 1.27 1.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Primo Water's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Primo Water Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Primo Water's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Primo Water's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Primo Water Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Primo Water's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1248+1.4*0.0475+3.3*0.046+0.6*1.4123+1.0*0.5029
=1.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,523 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $866 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $426 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $167 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 2.3 + 47.2 + 32.3 + 9 = $91 Mil.
Interest Expense was -14.2 + -18.6 + -19.8 + -18.8 = $-71 Mil.
Revenue was 10 + 622 + 593.3 + 546.5 = $1,772 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,940 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,082 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(865.9 - 426.1)/3523
=0.1248

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=167.2/3523
=0.0475

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(90.8 - -71.4)/3523
=0.046

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2939.969/2081.7
=1.4123

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1771.8/3523
=0.5029

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Primo Water has a Altman Z-Score of 1.72 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Primo Water  (NYSE:PRMW) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Primo Water Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Primo Water (Primo Water) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1200 Britannia Road East, Mississauga, ON, CAN, L4W 4T5
Primo Water is a pure-play water provider with a variety of products and services, including water delivery, exchange, refill/filtration, and water dispensers in 21 countries, mostly in North America and Europe. The firm usually initiates the customer relationship with the sale of water dispensers, and then generates recurring revenue via the water direct and exchange services (two thirds of total sales) by delivering large-format (typically three gallons or greater) water bottles to residential and commercial customers for use atop or inside the dispensers. Primo generates 75% of revenue and all its profits in North America, while its European operation has yet to turn a profit.
Executives
Mercedes Romero officer: Chief Procurement Officer 4221 WEST BOY SCOUT BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33607
Britta Bomhard director 500 CHARLES EWING BLVD, EWING NJ 08628
Derek R. Lewis director 1150 ASSEMBLY DR., SUITE 800, TAMPA FL 33607-4853
Lori Tauber Marcus director C/O THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Archana Singh director 111 RIVER STREET, HOBOKEN NJ 08559
Steven P Stanbrook director 1525 HOWE ST, RACINE WI 53403
Billy D Prim director 101 NORTH CHERRY STREET, SUITE 501, WINSTON SALEM NC 27101
Susan E. Cates director 101 NORTH CHERRY STREET, SUITE 501, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Eric J Foss director
Thomas Harrington officer: Chief Executive Officer 5519 IDLEWILD AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33634
William Alan Jamieson officer: Global CIO 4221 WEST BOY SCOUT BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33607
David W. Hass officer: Chief Financial Officer 101 NORTH CHERRY STREET, SUITE 501, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Jason R Ausher officer: Chief Accounting Officer 110 CORPORATE DRIVE, SUITE 10, PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Anne Melaragni officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 4221 WEST BOY SCOUT BOULEVARD, TAMPA FL 33607
Marni Morgan Poe officer: Chief Legal Officer/Secretary 5519 W. IDLEWILD AVENUE, TAMPA FL 33634