GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » FreightCar America Inc (NAS:RAIL) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

FreightCar America (FreightCar America) Altman Z-Score

: 0.85 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2005. Start your Free Trial

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.85 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

FreightCar America has a Altman Z-Score of 0.85, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

RAIL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.74   Med: 1.67   Max: 4.48
Current: 0.85

During the past 13 years, FreightCar America's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.48. The lowest was -0.74. And the median was 1.67.


FreightCar America Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FreightCar America Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.61 -0.74 0.59 1.09 0.81

FreightCar America Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.09 1.31 0.86 1.08 0.81

Competitive Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FreightCar America Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score falls into.



FreightCar America Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.166+1.4*-0.5506+3.3*-0.0272+0.6*0.2215+1.0*1.3802
=0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $259.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $180.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $137.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-142.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -2.242 + 3.409 + -18.329 + -4.926 = $-22.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.043 + -2.037 + -4.351 + -6.6 = $-15.0 Mil.
Revenue was 126.604 + 61.894 + 88.596 + 80.999 = $358.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $67.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $305.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(180.421 - 137.361)/259.459
=0.166

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-142.848/259.459
=-0.5506

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-22.088 - -15.031)/259.459
=-0.0272

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=67.695/305.665
=0.2215

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=358.093/259.459
=1.3802

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

FreightCar America has a Altman Z-Score of 0.85 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


FreightCar America  (NAS:RAIL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


FreightCar America Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FreightCar America's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FreightCar America (FreightCar America) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
125 S. Wacker Drive, Suite 1500, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
FreightCar America Inc is a diversified manufacturer of railcars and railcar components in North America. The company design and manufacture a broad variety of freight cars including covered hoppers, open-top hoppers, gondolas, intermodal, and non-intermodal flat cars that transport numerous types of dry bulk and containerized freight products. Its Manufacturing segment includes new railcar manufacturing, used railcar sales, railcar leasing, and major railcar rebuilds and generates revenue from the same.
Executives
Benavides Alejandro Gil 10 percent owner BARRANQUILLA 404 COLONIA GRADALUPE, MONCLOVA N9 25750
Nicholas J Randall officer: Chief Operating Officer 125 S WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
De Nigris Felan Jose director 125 S WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
James R Meyer director, officer: President and CEO TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60606
W Matthew Tonn officer: Chief Commercial Officer 2 N RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60606
Fuentes Sierra Juan Carlos officer: Corporate Controller & CAO 125 S WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Celia Perez officer: GC and Corp Secretary 125 S WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Travis D Kelly director 125 S WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael Anthony Riordan officer: Corporate Controller and CAO 125 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Rodger L Boehm director 165 WESTVIEW ROAD, WINNETKA IL 60093
Pacific Investment Management Co Llc 10 percent owner 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Terence R Rogers officer: Vice Pres, CFO and Treasurer RYERSON INC, 2621 W. 15TH PLACE, CHICAGO IL 60608
Gil Benavides Jesus Salvador director 125 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1500, C/O FREIGHTCAR AMERICA, INC., CHICAGO IL 60606
Fabricaciones Y Servicios De Mexico, S.a. De C.v. 10 percent owner CARRETARA 57 KM 178, CASTANOS O5 25870
Elizabeth K Arnold director 8310 S. VALLEY HWY, SUITE 350, DENVER CO 80112