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Yum Brands (Yum Brands) Altman Z-Score

: 2.38 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.37 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Yum Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Yum Brands is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

YUM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.48   Med: 2.12   Max: 3.58
Current: 2.37

During the past 13 years, Yum Brands's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.58. The lowest was 1.48. And the median was 2.12.


Yum Brands Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Yum Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.57 1.48 2.14 1.82 2.29

Yum Brands Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.82 1.93 2.14 2.10 2.29

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yum Brands Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Yum Brands Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0533+1.4*-1.2223+3.3*0.3741+0.6*2.7573+1.0*1.1356
=2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $6,231 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,609 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,277 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-7,616 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 464 + 505 + 478 + 371 = $1,818 Mil.
Interest Expense was -132 + -126 + -125 + -130 = $-513 Mil.
Revenue was 2036 + 1708 + 1687 + 1645 = $7,076 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $38,847 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $14,089 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1609 - 1277)/6231
=0.0533

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-7616/6231
=-1.2223

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1818 - -513)/6231
=0.3741

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=38847.000/14089
=2.7573

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7076/6231
=1.1356

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Yum Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Yum Brands  (NYSE:YUM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Yum Brands Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Yum Brands's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Yum Brands (Yum Brands) Business Description

Address
1441 Gardiner Lane, Louisville, KY, USA, 40213
Yum Brands is a U.S.-based restaurant operator featuring a portfolio of four brands: KFC (27,760 global units at year-end 2022), Pizza Hut (19,034 units), Taco Bell (8,203 units), and The Habit Burger Grill (346 units). With $59 billion in 2022 systemwide sales, the firm is the second-largest restaurant company in the world behind McDonald's ($116 billion), ahead of Restaurant Brands International ($39 billion) and Starbucks ($27 billion). Yum is 98% franchised, with the largest franchisee, Yum China, spun out in 2016 (after which Yum China agreed to pay 3% royalties to Yum Brands in perpetuity). Yum is the newest evolution of Tricon, formerly a division of PepsiCo, and generates the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and marketing contributions.
Executives
David W Gibbs director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 7100 CORPORATE DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Mark James King officer: CEO - Taco Bell 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
M. Brett Biggs director 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Susan Doniz director C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, MC 5003-1001, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Graddick Weir Mirian M director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Scott Catlett officer: General Counsel and Corp. Sec. 1441GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Tracy L Skeans officer: Chief People Officer 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
David Eric Russell officer: Vice President, Controller 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Sabir Sami officer: Chief Executive Officer - KFC 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Anthony Lowings officer: CEO, KFC Division 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Aaron Powell officer: CEO - Pizza Hut P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Lauren R Hobart director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15275
Greg Creed officer: President Taco Bell 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Scrivner Annie Young director 2401 UTAH AVE. S. SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Keith Barr director BROADWATER PARK, DENHAM, BUCKINGHAMSHIRE X0 UB9 5HR

Yum Brands (Yum Brands) Headlines