Hidden Value with Highly Leveraged Stocks: FIGI.PK, BLD, MNTG, PFIN

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Dec 28, 2010
Paying down debt, especially in highly leveraged companies never gets the respect or more importantly the increase in the market value it deserves.


Many of these companies made mistakes with poorly financed overpriced acquisitions or just hit bad times with an overly leveraged balance sheet. The market is not quick to forgive or recognize management’s improvements with debt pay downs. Investors are mostly ignoring these dramatic improvements in equity valuation. Some sell off bad assets, refinance debt or allocate the cash flow to accelerate the pay down of debt.


Some obvious improvements are reduction of interest expense, reduced company risk with opportunity to refinance at lower rates, improved debt capacity or new opportunities to improve future capital allocations.


An unintended beneficial consequence in my opinion is a more responsible allocation of future capital as there is little room to waste money





Some companies that may fall into this potential value creating category are


Fortress International (long position) (FIGI.PK) $1.30



At the end of 2007 long term debt per share was ~.68 ($7.9 million) reduced to ~.22 per share (2.9 million) for the most recent quarterly balance sheet. This ~67% reduction in long term debt was accomplished with sale of noncore assets, dramatic expense reduction, allocation of cash generation for debt reduction and significantly improved business operations partially due to new customers and improved economics from the 2007/08 recession. The per share long term debt improvement was significant from .68 (2007) to .22 (current).


Year end 2007 price was $4.85


Additional data:


Market Capitalization: $18,690,000


Enterprise Value: $36.290,700


P/S is ~ .27 historically cheap


On 11/12/10 FIGI.PK posted an outstanding improvements:


Backlog of $35.1 million at September 30, 2010


Cash increased to $11.2 million at September 30, 2010


Revenue of $21.0 million, an increase of 108% over the third quarter of 2009


Gross profit was $3.2 million, an increase of 53% over the third quarter of 2009


Baldwin Technologies (long position) (BLD, Financial) $1.31



At the end of 2007 total debt per share was ~6.76 per share (102.64 million) reduced to ~4.86 per share (75.456 million) for the most recent quarterly balance sheet.


Year end 2007 price was $4.72


Additional data


Industry: Diversified Machinery


Market Capitalization: $20,400,000


Enterprise Value: $81,961,700


P/S is ~ .10 historically deep discount


Reported (11/11/10) results improved


New President and CEO appointed October 1, 2010


Q1 Sales up 6% over prior year


Q1 Orders up 18% over prior year


Gaming Group (MNTG, Financial): $2.50 MTR



At the end of 2007 total debt per share was ~18.15 per share (499.17 million) reduced to ~15.18 per share (417.64 million) for the most recent quarterly balance sheet.


Year end 2007 price was $6.79


Additional data


Industry; Gaming Activities


Large extensive valuable real estate portfolio of land and buildings for gaming activities


Market Capitalization: $54,260,000


Enterprise Value: $430,260,000


P/S is ~ .10 historicall discount


P & F Industries(Long Position) (PFIN, Financial): $3.30



At the end of 2007 total debt per share was ~13.38 per share (48.28 million) reduced to ~10.38 per share (37.38 million) for the most recent quarterly balance sheet.


Year end 2007 price was $5.93


Additional data


Industry; Small Tools & Accessories


Market Capitalization: $11,930,000


Enterprise Value: $11,930,0000


P/S is ~ .20 historical discount


Recent quarterly results (11/12/10) showed an outstanding profitable turn around


improved gross margins


Net income per share for the quarter was .23


As the economy improves the company should be positioned to exploit opportunities



Shadowstock

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