The stock of Adient PLC (NYSE:ADNT, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $43.1 per share and the market cap of $4.1 billion, Adient PLC stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Adient PLC is shown in the chart below.
Because Adient PLC is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.
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Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Adient PLC has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.42, which is in the middle range of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Adient PLC at 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Adient PLC is poor. This is the debt and cash of Adient PLC over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Adient PLC has been profitable 4 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $12.6 billion and loss of $2.463 a share. Its operating margin is 1.02%, which ranks worse than 66% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. Overall, the profitability of Adient PLC is ranked 3 out of 10, which indicates poor profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Adient PLC over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of Adient PLC is -7.9%, which ranks worse than 82% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -57.4%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Adient PLC's return on invested capital is 2.44, and its cost of capital is -260.42. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Adient PLC is shown below:
Overall, the stock of Adient PLC (NYSE:ADNT, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Vehicles & Parts industry. To learn more about Adient PLC stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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