Copart Stock Appears To Be Modestly Overvalued

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Apr 07, 2021
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The stock of Copart (NAS:CPRT, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being modestly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $112.85 per share and the market cap of $26.7 billion, Copart stock gives every indication of being modestly overvalued. GF Value for Copart is shown in the chart below.

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Because Copart is relatively overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be lower than its business growth, which averaged 14.8% over the past five years.

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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Copart has a cash-to-debt ratio of 1.20, which which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Business Services industry. The overall financial strength of Copart is 7 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Copart is fair. This is the debt and cash of Copart over the past years:

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Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Copart has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $2.3 billion and earnings of $2.95 a share. Its operating margin of 39.70% better than 97% of the companies in Business Services industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Copart's profitability as strong. This is the revenue and net income of Copart over the past years:

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One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Copart is 14.8%, which ranks better than 82% of the companies in Business Services industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 20.8%, which ranks better than 78% of the companies in Business Services industry.

Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Copart's return on invested capital is 26.04, and its cost of capital is 8.25. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Copart is shown below:

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In conclusion, the stock of Copart (NAS:CPRT, 30-year Financials) is believed to be modestly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks better than 78% of the companies in Business Services industry. To learn more about Copart stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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