British American Tobacco PLC Stock Is Estimated To Be Modestly Undervalued

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GF Value
Apr 12, 2021
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The stock of British American Tobacco PLC (OTCPK:BTAFF, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being modestly undervalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $38.635 per share and the market cap of $87.8 billion, British American Tobacco PLC stock is estimated to be modestly undervalued. GF Value for British American Tobacco PLC is shown in the chart below.

British American Tobacco PLC GF Value Chart

Because British American Tobacco PLC is relatively undervalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be higher than its business growth, which averaged 5.6% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 1.37% annually over the next three to five years.

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Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. British American Tobacco PLC has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.05, which ranks worse than 89% of the companies in Tobacco Products industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks British American Tobacco PLC's financial strength as 4 out of 10, suggesting poor balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of British American Tobacco PLC over the past years:

debt and cash

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. British American Tobacco PLC has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $33.5 billion and earnings of $3.609 a share. Its operating margin of 39.48% better than 85% of the companies in Tobacco Products industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks British American Tobacco PLC's profitability as strong. This is the revenue and net income of British American Tobacco PLC over the past years:

Revnue and Net Income

One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of British American Tobacco PLC is 5.6%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Tobacco Products industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is -30.4%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Tobacco Products industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, British American Tobacco PLC's return on invested capital is 5.65, and its cost of capital is 5.32. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of British American Tobacco PLC is shown below:

ROIC vs WACC

To conclude, the stock of British American Tobacco PLC (OTCPK:BTAFF, 30-year Financials) is believed to be modestly undervalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Tobacco Products industry. To learn more about British American Tobacco PLC stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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